p(doom)
2 statements across 2 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Sep 10, 2026 by John Coogan · across every show →
Everything said about p(doom), oldest first
Sep 10, 2026
John Coogan: Concrete narratives communicate AI risk better than abstract percentages
“It's so easy to condense a PDOOM down to a single number, but I think people like stories. They want something that actually illustrates the chain of events that lead to the bad scenario, as opposed to these vague things where it's like, I have a lot of author…”
Sep 12, 2026 neutral
Coogan: Debating exact p(doom) percentages and extinction mechanics is a sideshow
“The conversation definitely gets dragged down into PDOOM estimates and trying to narrow down exactly how a human extinction scenario plays out, and that can be that can, I feel like that's almost a sideshow. Because in a democratic society, in, amongst humanit…”