Dwarkesh Patel

16 statements across 5 episodes · 5 bullish · 5 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Apr 6, 2025 by Dwarkesh Patel · said 103 times in 57 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Dwarkesh Patel's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

Mentions by year

brought up most by John Coogan (40), Jordi Hays (6), Martin Shkreli (1), Jordan Schneider (1), Jon Ma (1), Flo Crivello (1), Erik Torenberg (1), Dylan Patel (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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001.515330202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 45 mentions in 28 episodes 2 per episode
2025 43 mentions in 24 episodes 2 per episode
2024 15 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Dwarkesh Patel, oldest first

Apr 6, 2025 positive
Insight
Patel: Anti-AI Art Critics Hold a Zero-Sum View of Beauty
“I think it's just a very zero sum view of the world where there can be a limited amount of beauty. There can be a limited amount of joy. I just don't think that.”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 8:28 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 negative
Opinion
Patel: Incumbents Struggle With AI Because They Treat It as a Feature
“They're not AGI filled enough, you know, like if you treat it like another feature well, I mean, even if you treat it like another feature, it's like mysterious why Siri doesn't work on my phone, but like, it's like more people basically. And if you take that …”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 23:35 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 positive
Opinion
Patel: Carl Schulman Is the Most Underrated Foundational AI Thinker
“The one who is, I guess, also super, super underrated is Carl Schulman. And I think, I don't know if this name rings a bell to you, this man is, like, You would not believe the amount of ideas that are out there in the AI system, from, like, the software-only …”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 29:05 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: AI Art Is a Glimpse Into a Transhumanist Future
“You're getting a glimpse just from these, like, early images of how cool and beautiful the things AI makes or helps us make will be. Just imagine this scaled up, like, a hundred X, a thousand X, integrated into all our senses, maybe even into our minds integra…”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 8:48 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: There Is a 10% to 20% Chance of AI Stagnation
“So if somehow this whole deep learning paradigm is wrong and we just, like, totally missed the boat somehow, then I could see it happening and that's, I give it a 10, 20%.”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 20:03 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Insight
Patel: Human Brain Compute Limits Restrict Centralized Organizational Control
“Right now, you know it's really hard for, if you have an institution or organization company, it's really hard for the person at the center to have that much awareness of what's happening in the company to control it to any great extent. Xi Jinping has the sam…”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 5:59 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Patel: 50% Chance a Closed AI Loop Achieves Superintelligence
“The basic question is, can you get this like closed loop where you build the AIs which are helping you accelerate AI research, dot, dot, dot, super intelligence? I'm like, fifty-fifty on that question.”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 25:13 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Patel: AI Acceleration Requires Millions of Specialized Autonomous Agents
“I think the thing that's underrated is we humans have this global hive mind where the reason we can make iPhones and we can make buildings and whatever is not just intelligence and also not just agency. It's the fact that there's so much specialization. There'…”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 4:39 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Patel: AI Adoption Bottleneck Is Intelligence, Not Inference Cost
“I think the real bottleneck is just, we got to make them smarter. I don't like, they're already so cheap. It's like two cents per million tokens or something ridiculous. I think the real bottleneck for me using them more is not their price, but them being more…”
Dwarkesh Patel Apr 6, 2025 ▶ 2:58 Dwarkesh Patel (Dwarkesh Podcast) on The Scaling Hypothesis, AI and China
Jul 8, 2025 bearish
Insight
Patel: Prompt correction is an order of magnitude worse than human learning
“I think the, this is at least an order of magnitude less efficient and less less capable than the way humans learn.”
Dwarkesh Patel Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 8:14 DWARKESH PATEL on the Biggest Problem of AI
Jul 8, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Patel: Current LLMs still cannot reliably automate his podcast transcript editing
“I try to get these to rewrite auto-generated transcripts for me so they're rewritten like a human. I try to get them to just adjust the transcript and suggest clips to tweet out and things like that. And I haven't been able to automate these things. I don't kn…”
Dwarkesh Patel Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 10:56 DWARKESH PATEL on the Biggest Problem of AI
Jul 8, 2025 negative
Insight
Patel: AI automation is bottlenecked by task depth, not task breadth
“I think the bigger problem is not just the width or the width of the pool, how many different tasks you have to RL on, but it's a depth in the sense that a job doesn't involve doing a thousand different five minute tasks individually. It's the fact that you're…”
Dwarkesh Patel Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 10:01 DWARKESH PATEL on the Biggest Problem of AI
Jul 8, 2025 neutral
Insight
Patel: Tacit experiential knowledge cannot be captured in a system prompt
“This, like, tacit knowledge that you build up through practice is not this, like, written instruction manual that you can just write out as a system prompt.”
Dwarkesh Patel Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 8:55 DWARKESH PATEL on the Biggest Problem of AI
Nov 22, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Andrej Karpathy broke AI consensus by projecting a decade of agents
“Even though he's worked at OpenAI, even though he's worked at Tesla, he broke rank, he went on the Dwarkesh Patel show, and said, you know what, I think we're more in a decade of agents. I think AGI might not be right around the corner. He took a contrarian st…”
John Coogan Nov 22, 2025 ▶ 11:11 The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN
Feb 3, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Moltbook AI agents make zero mention of TSMC or Dario Amodei
“There was also no there were no mentions of AI keywords. Like, if Skynet's really waking up, are they not thinking about Dario Amade? Yeah, so no mentions of Stratechery, no mentions of Dwarkesh, no mentions of TSMC, Abilene, Amadei, TPU.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 9:57 Moltbook and the Zombie Internet
Feb 3, 2026
Disclosure
Patel is opening an SF office with Leopold Aschenbrenner and Dwarkesh Patel
“We're, you know, we're getting an office together, Leopold, myself, Dwarkesh, and then a client of mine, another hedge fund.”
Dylan Patel Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 34:10 FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI
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