DeepSeek

also referred to as: deep seek

includes DeepSeek R1, DeepSeek V3, DeepSeek Chat, DeepSeek Flash, DeepSeek R One, DeepSeek V3.2

36 statements across 17 episodes · 17 bullish · 9 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Jan 7, 2025 by Jordi Hays · said 429 times in 81 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by John Coogan (186), Jordi Hays (40), Jordan Schneider (7), Will Brown (4), Tae Kim (4), Jordy (Geordie) (4), Dwarkesh Patel (4), Bill Bishop (3)

tap a year for its mentions
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0043086020252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 73 mentions in 28 episodes 3 per episode
2025 356 mentions in 53 episodes 7 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about DeepSeek, oldest first

Jan 7, 2025 negative
Assertion Partly supported
DeepSeek leapfrogged other AI labs by training on OpenAI's models
“That's not, didn't cover the fact that it seems like people have been figuring out that they just kind of like were able to leverage OpenAI's models and then like leapfrog using it.”
Jordi Hays Jan 7, 2025 ▶ 2:18:50 The END of Ski Season? (E26)
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek's training data relies heavily on OpenAI's GPT-4 API
“I think the training data, a lot of it is synthetic data that's been pulled from the GPT-IV API.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 41:53 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hays: DeepSeek is China's Next Subsidized Tech Trojan Horse Like TikTok
“I'll go out on a limb to say this is China's next attempt at a DJI TikTok type. Product where, hey, let's basically sell this product in America for way less than it costs. Give it away for free. Try to get a bunch of important, you know, companies using it or…”
Jordi Hays Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 0:44 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek Open Sourcing Leading-Edge Model Will Disrupt AI Competition
“Zuck has been running this playbook with Llama open sourcing the lagging edge AI model, and it's had a strong effect on the competition. And so deep seek open sourcing, the leading edge model is going to have a similar effect.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 45:31 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek Founder Liang Wenfeng Is the Next Frank Wang
“This guy is he's the next Frank Wang.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 23:30 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: DeepSeek develops talent internally without US-trained PhDs
“They are largely developing their own talent. They're not relying on US trained PhDs.”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 42:28 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: Self-Hosting DeepSeek Carries Far Less Security Risk Than TikTok
“I just, this is a different scenario because if you just download the Git repo for deep seek and you host it on Amazon or, you know, Google cloud or whatever, like there's no data feeding back. Like you're not helping them improve the model at all. Like that's…”
John Coogan Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 48:14 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 25, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Any Important Chinese Tech Company Defaults to CCP Front
“The main thing from my point of view is China has repeatedly shown that they're willing to lie, they're willing to sell things for less than they cost to make in order to get an edge in the U.S. Market, and I do think this is, again, the default state of any i…”
Jordi Hays Jan 25, 2025 ▶ 47:31 DeepSeek, Stargate Update, Bees Do Enjoy Honey, Golden Retriever Maxxing, Bring on the Trilly
Jan 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Coogan: Western AI Labs Will Port DeepSeek's Optimizations Into Their Models
“It's open source. The paper's out there. So that will get ported back to Llama, to OpenAI, to Anthropic, but I haven't seen that.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 50:51 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek will push inference costs down and disrupt B2B AI
“And this will drive the cost down even further. So hugely disruptive to the B to B space.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 56:28 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek is a massive upgrade over free ChatGPT
“Like if you have ChatGPT free version and you download DeepSeq, that is a massive upgrade if you're a free user.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:05:21 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Coogan: DeepSeek's top innovation is its real-time reasoning UI
“This is probably the most innovation that's happened with the deep seek thing is that UI paradigm of like showing you the reasoning as it works through the model and it just makes it way more engaging because you enter a query and then it immediately starts ta…”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:35:05 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: DeepSeek V3 Was ~45x More Training-Efficient Than Competitors
“V-III remains the top ranked open weights model despite being around 45 X more efficient in training than its competition.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 36:43 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hays: Users Will Distrust Chinese AI Models With Personal and Financial Data
“You have to imagine that people will be less likely to trust the Chinese developer with the operator flow, which is inputting your card details and highly personal information, which is different than just querying a chat interface to write me an essay on this…”
Jordi Hays Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 2:02:16 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Nvidia valuation is hard to justify as competitive moats crack
“So at the high level, Nvidia faces an unprecedented convergence of competitive threats that make its premium valuation increasingly difficult to justify at 20 x forward sales and 75% gross margins. The company's supposed moats and hardware software and efficie…”
Jordi Hays Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:02:05 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Coogan: DeepSeek-R1 API is 27 times cheaper than OpenAI's o1
“The deep seek R one API is currently 27%, 27 times cheaper than open AI's O one for a similar level of quality.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 37:04 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Hays: Mistral, Anthropic, and Cohere must match free models to survive
“The thing that's most fascinating to me is all these model companies, Mistral Anthropic, Cohere that really don't publicly have these capabilities. Where now anybody employed at those companies basically shouldn't sleep. For the next, however long it takes to …”
Jordi Hays Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:06:53 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Jan 28, 2025 neutral
Insight
Coogan: AI companies should charge until a competitive model goes free
“Until until a competitive model, model goes free, you should not go free. This is just basic econ one-on-one. This is actually more capitalist. So like we are the capitalist. It's like charge until you can.”
John Coogan Jan 28, 2025 ▶ 1:26:37 DeepSeek Update, Market Crash, Timeline in Turmoil, Is VC Cooked, Zero Cope Policy
Feb 10, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: DeepSeek definitely succeeded in making AI inference cheaper
“They clearly did a bunch of optimizations to make the code run faster. And there's just no question that inference is cheaper. Like that is true.”
John Coogan Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 38:25 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 10, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Jordy: Anthropic's AI safety focus was the wrong short-term bet
“Anthropic made a clear bet around AI safety and a lot of other firms ignored that deep seek one of them. And so that seems to be in the short term, the wrong bet to make.”
Jordy (Geordie) Feb 10, 2025 ▶ 45:07 The BEST Super Bowl Commercial (Saquon Barkley)
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Insight
Coogan: DeepSeek Proves Chips Aren't the Sole Route to Frontier AI
“On one hand, chips remain the gating factor to the easiest route to a frontier model. On the other hand, this is why deep seek matters. They're not the only route to something that is at least competitive.”
John Coogan Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 12:20 How Does GROK Compare? (Full Analysis)
Mar 12, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lessin: OpenAI is trapped in the middle and will lose
“Candidly, even companies like open AI, or should we say nonprofits like open AI, the problem is they're kind of in the middle, you know, they can't compete. With the hyperscalers from just access to capital perspective. If this is a capital game, they're going…”
Sam Lessin Mar 12, 2025 ▶ 7:26 Sam Lessin on Meta, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing in Creators.
Mar 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: DeepSeek rejected venture capital for 0% Bank of China loan
“DeepSeek turned down all their venture capital interest and said, oh yeah, we're just going to take a zero percent loan from the bank of China.”
John Coogan Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 16:34 Joshua Steinman talks cybersecurity and the vulnerabilities of a digital world.
Mar 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Schneider: DeepSeek's core engineering base is under 30 from top Chinese universities
“The core of deep seeks engineering base are all under 30 and all from those top Chinese universities in that cohort.”
Jordan Schneider Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 11:42 Jordan Schneider (ChinaTalk) On the US-China Power Struggle
Mar 28, 2025 positive
Opinion
Schneider: DeepSeek pushed efficiency earlier because it ran out of chips before US labs
“I think deep sea kind of came to that earlier. The sort of need to really push on kind of the efficiency frontier as opposed to the capability frontier, because they ran out of chips before the likes of OpenAI and Anthropic.”
Jordan Schneider Mar 28, 2025 ▶ 14:24 Jordan Schneider (ChinaTalk) On the US-China Power Struggle
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: DeepSeek serves all of China on 2,000 GPUs
“Like Deep Seek is serving all of China on 2000 GPUs.”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 16:06 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Apr 26, 2025 positive
Insight
Brown: DeepSeek's efficiency comes from stacking 10 to 15 compound gains
“I mean, to me, the surprising thing was not any individual one thing. It's that each of these is maybe like a 30%, 50% gain, but they have like 10, 15 of them that all stack. And so getting all of these to stack nicely is what's hard.”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 17:02 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Jul 1, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: $2 Billion Is Enough to Train a Near-Frontier AI Model
“I think the fact of the matter is like two billion dollars is enough to do a GPT four level run to do a deep seek style run. And so you, if you take all the best practices from deep seek V three and R one, like the reasoning model, and you spend the money to g…”
John Coogan Jul 1, 2025 ▶ 7:02 Apple Considers New AI partnership
Jul 5, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: OpenAI used FP8 weight storage two years before DeepSeek
“And when you talk to Dylan Patel, I was asking him about deep seek and how deep seek was doing all these innovations and like moving to floating .8, like smaller smaller, basically smaller numbers, storing the weights. And he was like, oh yeah, but open AI was…”
John Coogan Jul 5, 2025 ▶ 2:34:18 Weekly Recap: The Soham Parekh Drama, Meta Attacks OpenAI, Trump's Mega Bill
Aug 8, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Most Open-Weights AI Models, Including DeepSeek, Omit Training Data
“What most of the open source open weights models don't have, including, you know, deep seek specifically, What they don't have is they don't have open data, right? Or open corpus, right? So you can't actually see the training data that went, went into them.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 19:18 Marc Andreessen on Why Apple Might Miss the Next Platform Shift
Aug 9, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: DeepSeek and most open-weights AI models do not share training data
“What most of the open source open weights models don't have, including, you know, deep seek specifically, What they don't have is they don't have open data, right? Or open corpus, right? So you can't actually see the training data that went, went into them.”
Marc Andreessen Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:24:54 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Aug 9, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Hays: Reflection AI is in talks to raise $1B for open-source models
“It was reported yesterday by the misinformation that reflection, reflection the misinformation reported that reflection one-year-old startup we've had the CEO on before he's in talks to raise one billion to develop open source models to compete with deep sea m…”
Jordi Hays Aug 9, 2025 ▶ 1:01:36 Weekly Recap: Apple Sitting on $100B, Disney Enters The AI Race, Marc Andreessen, All About GPT-5
Feb 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Bishop: DeepSeek will launch its next model within eight or nine days
“And so now everyone's waiting for DeepSeek's next model, which is supposed to launch on or around Lunar New Year, which is next Wednesday the 17th. So we should have some sort of a DeepSeek model in the next eight or nine days.”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 27:11 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
Feb 24, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Hays: DeepSeek Is Hiring a 'PR Harmony Manager' Amid Distillation Scrutiny
“Deep seek is responding to distill gates and they are looking For a public relations harmony manager.”
Jordi Hays Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 20:52 Kim K's New Energy Drink, Citrini Discourse Rages On, the $100B Meta-AMD Deal | Diet TBPN
Jul 30, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Proprietary AI lab revenues grew significantly despite the DeepSeek surge
“That's what we've seen throughout the whole deep seek saga when the lab revenues grew a ton, even though open source was big.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 27:26 U.S. Bans New Chinese Humanoids, Zuck’s Op-Ed, eBay's $56M Lawsuit | Diet TBPN
Aug 5, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Anthropic accuses major Chinese AI labs of distilling its Claude model
“Anthropic has accused DeepSeek, Moonshot, Minimax, ZAI, Alibaba, all of distilling Claude”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 28:53 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
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