artificial general intelligence
also referred to as: agi
13 statements across 12 episodes · 6 bullish · 4 bearish · 10 people on the record · first statement Feb 19, 2025 by John Coogan · across every show →
Everything said about artificial general intelligence, oldest first
Feb 19, 2025 positive
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
McLaughlin: Initial Political and Capital Conditions Compound Drastically in AGI Trajectory
“That, like, little, little differences in the initial conditions kind of, like, of, you know, AGI being born, or, like, of the politics of the time, or, like, of the, like, capital distribution or whatever I think can compound to, like, incredible differences …”
Apr 6, 2025 neutral
Apr 6, 2025 bearish
Knoop: Scaling Test-Time Compute Will Not Get Us to AGI
“And then there's a new story that's emerged over the last like five months, which is, oh, we're going to scale up this test time compute and that's going to get us to AGI. And I think what V two shows is that that's not quite either. We still need some structu…”
Apr 25, 2025 bullish
Apr 26, 2025 bearish
Ginn: AGI is a trope because human nature cannot be digitized
“I think that there is an immaterial part of our nature. Numbers are immaterial. Data is numbers. Like it's pretty logical to believe that like we are ourselves an immaterial. There's something about it. Therefore I can't actually put it in bits and bytes. So A…”
Jul 8, 2025 bearish
Hays: AI labs risk valuation collapse if AGI is delayed past 2027
“And so when timelines extend and AGI isn't happening, you know, next year or the following year or whatever, I start to get generally a little bit worried because that's a lot of EV to kind of maintain for another half a decade or a decade, whatever it turns i…”
Oct 28, 2025 negative
Nadella: Sam Altman and I agree 'AGI' has become a nonsensical term
“To me, I think, first of all, I think one of the reasons why, quite frankly, both Sam and I think, agree on this, which is, it's become a bit of a nonsensical word. I mean, it's just changing, and everybody defines it differently, and we now know what the issu…”
Nov 7, 2025 neutral
John Coogan predicts China wins a 15-year AGI race on energy advantages
“If AGI happens in 15 years, China is more likely to get it because they're on a steeper energy ramp than we are. But if AGI happens sooner, and it's, and it is just sort of an algorithmic breakthrough, like we do have an advantage in America because we have mo…”
Nov 8, 2025 bullish
Feb 10, 2026 positive
Bishop: China's AI strategy prioritizes economic diffusion over frontier models
“They have like this AI plus plan they rolled out a couple months ago, where it's really to embed AI throughout the economy and throughout society. And so they're not really focused on As much as sort of getting to AGI and these massive models, they're really m…”
Mar 13, 2026 bullish
Human Labor Will Become Increasingly Valuable Until Super AGI
“Until we get super AGI. Humans are valuable, and they are going to become more and more valuable because they will be the long pole in the tent to progress, and that progress is going to accelerate and get faster and more, you know, more robust, except If you'…”