AI progress

3 statements across 3 episodes · 1 bullish · 2 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Feb 23, 2026 by Alap Shah · across every show →

Everything said about AI progress, oldest first

Feb 23, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Shah: Unaddressed AI labor displacement will cause an economic crisis, slowing progress
“AI progress will slow down because we'll have an economic crisis, and we're not going to be able to finance nearly as much of it as we otherwise would.”
Alap Shah Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 23:34 Why My Article Just Tanked the Market
Feb 26, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Coogan: AI Progress Outpaces Public Expectations as Managers Lag Behind
“AI progress is pacing way ahead of public expectations, and most managers are months behind when it comes to understanding frontier capabilities.”
John Coogan Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 9:19 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Mar 27, 2026 negative
Opinion
Hays: Data center moratorium would be catastrophic for AI progress
“The act has a long way to go, and it seems like the odds of it getting into law are low, but not zero. It's safe to say that as written, the requirements in the bill would be an incredible gift to America's adversaries and catastrophic for overall AI progress.”
Jordi Hays Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 20:04 Arm’s $15B Chip Bet, Sanders & AOC vs Datacenters, Meta & YouTube Lose Trial | Diet TBPN
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