Einar Vollset criticizes the structure of Google's $2.4B transaction with Windsurf, arguing it breached Silicon Valley's social contract regarding equity distribution.
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2031
Vollset predicts Anthropic will inevitably add advertisements to Claude
“Not only are they going to do it, but so is Claude. I guarantee it. You know, they might figure out something clever and do the thing, but like, there's no, there's just not a universe unless Claude get bought by Apple or something. That, that Claude aren't go…”
Opinion
Vollset: Media Outrage Over Twitter Stems From Journalists Losing Privileged Status
“My honest to God view on this, and it may be deeply cynical, is that I think what has happened, the reason why there's so much heat and so much drama around this is because Two journalists, Twitter's very, very important, and they had a very special status und…”
Assertion Supported
Vollset: Public SaaS companies report zero AI disruption and no added churn
“Most of the like public SaaS companies are reporting, like, you know, they're coming like, we're not seeing any disruption whatsoever from AI, no additional churn, but in the public markets, the sky is falling.”
Opinion
Vollset: Apple can win consumer AI interface without owning frontier models
“And I feel like that's actually where Apple could come in, and without, even without necessarily owning, like, a fantastic foundation model, Could come in and just be like the interface by which normal people interact with AI day in and day out. For sure, I th…”
Insight
Vollset: Autonomous AI agents cannot be truly useful without major security trade-offs
“You're almost never gonna get, like, a hundred percent security, because it's not helpful, unless it sees what I see. And if it doesn't see what I see, then it's just like, yeah, ok, like, can you do some web research for me? I'm like, yeah, that's, So can cha…”
Insight
Vollset: SaaS founders frequently leave 60% to 80% of exit value behind
“It's not unusual that I hear about situations where I'm like, okay, well, yeah, but you left like you left like 60 or 70 or 80% of the value of the company on the table because you didn't know what was going on here. Like you didn't understand like the univers…”