The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Goldstein: Linear will replace Jira and Trello in large enterprises
“They are killing Trello. They're killing Jira. They're going to replace those in even large enterprises as well, and they didn't have to build the craziest, most advanced stuff.”
Goldstein: Consumer Hangout Apps Consistently Fail Due to Negative Selection Bias
“It's an app to help you hang out with people when you're bored. And all of these apps have failed. Like all of them have failed. Like they just don't work. There's this negative selection bias where it's like the people who actually want to hang out are not th…”
Goldstein: Any Industry Workflow Relying on Spreadsheets Is a Startup Opportunity
“Anytime you have any industry anywhere in the world where somebody is using a spreadsheet, it should be like, you know, a light bulb going off. There's like, this is a startup opportunity. There's countless startups that started as spreadsheets or took process…”
Goldstein: Unbundling incumbents requires building for power-user niches
“The way you can be with any network is you carve off a section of it, of like extremely power users of some sort, some niche, and you build better features for them or something like that.”
Goldstein: Most employees spend their annual $2K–$3K L&D budget on conferences
“Conferences are actually where most people spend their learning and development budget at their companies. They're usually getting like two to 3000 dollars a year or something like that. These workers, these tech workers or any sort of worker, most of them spe…”
Goldstein: Dating app success comes from carving out niches, not mechanism
“The way that you would start a new dating app is you find a niche, you find a, an, a specific group of people, and then maybe there's some special mechanism, but the group of people matters more than the mechanism. Right? Any dating app you're on, like Raya is…”
Goldstein: Direct Dating Apps Suffer from Negative Selection Bias
“The reason dating feels icky to people is the same reason why like the app that helps people hang out when they're bored doesn't work is because when it's too on the nose, you know, It's too direct, right? Like I am single. I'm on a dating app to date. There's…”
Goldstein: AI Data Enrichment Startups Quickly Reach $20K-$30K MRR
“I have friends who run, there are a handful of these startups that have popped up that do some sort of data enrichment. In the post AI world and they have gotten to, you know, 20, 30 K MRR pretty quickly just from basically selling CSVs.”
Goldstein: Clearbit Data Accuracy Jumped From 30% to 95% With LLMs
“So apparently when Clearbit added LLMs to their whole mix, they had data points that went from being like, 30% accurate to like, 95% accurate.”
Goldstein: Core enterprise workflow tools must be rebuilt every 5-10 years
“All these like core workflow tools, Need to get rebuilt every five to 10 years. Why is that? Because the technology gets better, right? People all want, people always want the same thing. They want it to be beautiful. They want it to look like the tools that t…”