The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 1,218 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 10 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bloom: TikTok is de facto controlled by Chinese government
“TikTok, which is Chinese owned, and de facto controlled by the Chinese government, by the way, and owns the data of literally every single teenager in the United States.”
Miller: Enterprise CMOs are panicking over how AI agents discover brands
“Like, I can tell you that CMOs, all of them are asking about, like, how do I get discovered by agents? How, what does the agent first shopping experience look like? What does brand consideration in the AI age look like? You know, all of that is being considere…”
Carson averages 22 to 25 pull requests daily using AI agents
“And you can see what, you know, the average here is, is sort of this 22 to 25 PRs a day, right? And sometimes, you know, 40 a day.”
Dan Shipper: Fable AI autonomously emptied his team's bug backlog
“Like with fable, I was we were like literally The, our bug backlog was emptied out. You could just set it off and it was emptied out as long as you're willing to spend the money.”
Shipper: OpenAI and Anthropic do not really offer fine-tuning anymore
“In that case, like, you have to use open-source models, because none of the major model companies, or at least OpenAnthropic, don't really do fine-tuning anymore.”
Isenberg: Memory Hardware and AI Token Prices Are Not Getting Cheaper
“Because, you know, the price of memory isn't getting cheaper. And the price of tokens aren't getting cheaper.”
Hermes is the most used AI agent in the world
“Hermes is the most used agent in the world right now.”
Regulated sectors are legally barred from sending data to cloud AI APIs
“Healthcare, legal, finance, they have money, they have problems AI can solve, but they legally cannot send their data to a cloud API.”
Mike: Peter burned $1.3M in AI tokens in one month on loops
“The one argument I'll fight back with is this is going to burn a lot of tokens, and if you don't believe me, all you have to do is look at Peter's tweet, where in one month he burnt 1.3 million dollars worth of tokens.”
Taba: AI workflows reduce functional software prototyping from weeks to minutes
“A proposal might've taken up to three days and now it takes minutes. You can saw that clickable prototype again, not a prototype in Figma, not a design prototype. If functional prototype could take one to two weeks to figure out what to build, do it, get it ou…”
Finn: OpenClaw hardcodes models and requires framework updates for new releases
“OpenClaw, like every model is like hard coded in to OpenClaw. So you have to like ask them to switch models. And when new models come out, you have to wait for OpenClaw to update with that newest model.”
Liu: Benchmark memo told portfolio companies to radically rethink operations for AI
“One of the benchmark partners sent out this memo about, like, you know, it was basically a wake-up call to all of the portfolio companies to, like, you know, get with the program and, like, really radically rethink how you operate your business, like, immediat…”
Riley Brown: Codex is the only platform combining vibe coding and knowledge work
“It is the only interface that does vibe coding and knowledge work in one platform.”
Isenberg: YC Predicts Over 300 Vertical AI Unicorns Will Emerge This Decade
“YC predicts that there's going to be 300 plus unicorns in vertical AI in, in, in, you know, this decade.”
Gaskill: Founders using AI agents are 10 to 20 times more productive
“The founders and employees that are utilizing agents are like, no word of a lie, 10 to 20 times more productive in their day.”
Henry: AI agent rewritten onboarding drove record daily new user signups
“He has completely rewritten my onboarding, because he has the analytics from my app, and you can see here, it's massively helped. This got published two days ago, and this is the most new users I've had in a day for a long, long time.”
Henry: OpenAI owns OpenClaw and will tighten its security
“I think now OpenAI own OpenClaw. The security is going to get a lot tighter. Things are going to be a lot, lot smoother.”
Henry: Ernesto Lopez scaled apps to over $70K MRR using Larry Brain
“Ernesto Lopez has used Larry brain to scale to over 70,000 MRR. He's implemented it in his apps using his already created content creation. He's implemented the Larry loop to improve the content he was already creating and will Was already winning, and he's ha…”
Linton: GPT-5.3 Codex beat Opus 4.6 on SWE-bench Pro and TerminalBench
“Five, five, three codecs did win on SWD bench pro terminal bench overall. It's like scored better on coding benchmarks. So probably better end end app generation.”
Kevin Rose: Gemini Search Grounding Bypasses Scraper Blocks on Sites Like Reddit
“Oftentimes they won't come out and say this, but they kind of crawl the article and give you back what the article actually says. And they might reword it a little bit, but it's largely what the article says. And I can prove that because they can, you can do t…”
Finn: Claudebot Autonomously Built and Submitted Features for Creator Buddy
“It actually found, you know, that this story, articles are popping on X. Elon's giving away a million dollars, and it actually built out article functionality for me in my SaaS creator buddy, right? So I have this app creator buddy. It's all about X content. A…”
Kerner: 51% of Social Media Purchases Happen on Facebook Marketplace
“51% of all recent social media purchases, so like not Amazon, social media purposes, all happened on Facebook Marketplace, ok?”
Kilpatrick: Gemini 3.0 Pro API undercuts GPT-5.1 Pro and Claude 4.5
“The actual model is two dollars per million input tokens and 12 dollars per million output tokens. So it's priced below some of those sort of comparable competitive models like GBT, 5.1 pro as an example, and Claude 4.5.”
Sora 2 replaces video ad production that traditionally cost $100k+
“You would have to pay someone 100,000 of dollars to actually, like, conceptualize this, build this and now you can do this you know, pretty simply.”
Mack claims his project is the first end-to-end AI video editor
“The world's first AI in-to-in video editor.”
Simons: Bolt Hackathon broke world records with 130,000 participants and 1M apps
“The world record for the largest hackathon prior to this hackathon was 66,000 people. On day one, we crossed that number. At the end, we had over a 130,000 people, and over a million new web apps were created in, in that 30 day period.”
Isenberg: Bolt builds apps in seconds that once cost millions
“We're at the stage where you can literally take, like, a website app idea you have, Throw it into Bolt, and it's going to design something for you and build it for you in a matter of seconds. Something that you'd have to hire a team of designers and engineers …”
James: Diesel Dudes gets all traffic and leads from ChatGPT keyword research
“I didn't do any of that for diesel dudes. And we get, All of our traffic and leads from the search research I did on, on GPT five.”
Schneider: Everbee bootstrapped to $6M ARR in 18 months using YouTube strategy
“I have a friend that took his company from zero to six million ARR in 18 months only running the strategy. Entirely bootstrapped. The company is called Everbee. I, it's my friend Cody McGuffey is an absolute G.”
Image quality does not degrade across multi-turn AI conversational edits
“The model doesn't like the image quality doesn't get worse as you like do a multi-turn edit. So like you don't need to get everything right on the first edit.”
Courtney: Hormozi spent $450,000 daily leading up to launch
“He was sending, he was spending, he said he spent like 450 thousand dollars per day on marketing in general in the lead up to the event.”
James: Claude Code automatically detects and fixes technical SEO issues
“You don't even have to know what all of it is to be honest with you. Just that Claude will find it and Claude will do it.”
James's AI-built website outranked 20-year-old local competitors on Google search
“Now if you go to Google and you say mobile, Diesel mechanic Charlotte. And you look here, like we're showing up in the maps, like right away. And you know, we're in the top three organic results and these, some of these competitive websites and businesses have…”
Isenberg: Viral app Tea Dating Advice makes $200K to $300K daily
“So there's this app that's going viral right now. I think it's making like two, 300,000 dollars a day of revenue, which is crazy, you know? And he designed it. It's called Tea Dating Advice”
Pigford generated $100K in two years selling week-long micro-apps
“In the past, like, two years I've built all these different apps, like, sold for 8000, sold for 25,000, sold for 5000, sold for 12,000, sold for 24,000. Like, I think I've probably done, I don't know, close to a 100,000 dollars over the past couple of years, j…”
Woodward: Flow and Veo achieve consistent characters across AI video scenes
“And what's amazing about flow and VO as a model is that we're starting to get to this point where you have consistent characters and scenes.”
Reports indicate AI software builder Lovable is raising at a $2B valuation
“Well, yesterday I think it was leaked that lovable is raising at a two billion dollar valuation.”
GenSpark reached $36M ARR in 45 days, adding almost $1M daily
“Then they launched the agent platform about two months ago. It hit ten million ARR in nine days. Now they're at thirty six million ARR in 45 days. They're basically adding almost a million dollars a day in ARR.”
Riley Brown: No company has made connecting tools to AI easy yet
“No company, even to this day, has made it really easy to add external tools.”
Courtney: Upsells turn $6.99 book into $68.85 average cart value
“How is it that our six 99 book has an average cart value of 68 dollars, 85 cent? Well, it's because there's upsells in the process of going to buy the book.”
Sam Altman predicts 'idea guys' will soon dominate the startup industry
“He just posted on his blog. He says for a long time, technical people in the startup industry Have made fun of idea guys. People who've had an idea and were looking for a team to build it. It now looks to me like they are about to have their day in the sun.”
Meng To: No other AI design tool offers real-time live previews
“And also I already had like the life The live preview as you generate. So nobody else has that, by the way. When you're generating, it's going to live preview everything you're doing. You don't have to wait like five minutes for something to show up.”
Isenberg: CEOs are privately using AI to downsize, despite public denials
“I actually think that we should be real about that because I think a lot of people say that it's not about downsizing, ah, it's not about downsizing, but like from the CEOs I speak to, I mean, they're looking to get more done. With the same or smaller team.”
Isaacson: NGL spent under $10,000 marketing to reach 250M downloads
“We spent less than 10,000 dollars marketing the entire product to get the quarter of a billion downloads that we got.”
Isaacson: Apple already has unannounced AR glasses fully developed
“I don't know when Apple's going to finally unveil what they have. There, but I'm sure it's sitting somewhere in the basement and they have the glasses ready to go, but I can't wait for that.”
Storage Squad reached $2M revenue without paid ads using sidewalk chalk
“We didn't do paid ads until 2017 when we were over two million a year of revenue. It was sidewalk chalk.”
Wilkinson: Claude found $100,000 in tax savings from my Xero data
“Like at one point I said how could you optimize my taxes? And it said, oh, you have a credit line over here and you have a credit line in your company. If you use the company money to pay down the personal credit line, you can just immediately write off. Like,…”