why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Azut: Consumers no longer want minimum viable products without polish
“I also think that works, you know, like the bar for consumers is so high these days. Yeah. We've been spoiled with incredible software. Like every time I use Uber, Instacart, like this is like, we are just so spoiled that the bar for polish, like nobody wants …”
Opinion
Backseat rideshare betting screens could generate $100M in annual revenue
“Greg, that's a hundred million dollar a year company.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pujji: Oversaw $2B-$3B in ad spend across Uber and Dollar Shave Club
“I've probably overseen over my career, two, three billion dollars in paid spend, right? We did it. We scaled Uber to a hundred million a year in 600 cities, Dollar Shave Club to, was spending three million a month with us for four years. Stitch Fix, Casper, yo…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: Lyft sought to compete against Harry Campbell's Uber content
“Lyft actually turned me on to you. So I was building a community platform at the time and they basically were like, Hey, there's this guy who's like doing stuff for Uber. And like, you need to like, we want to compete against him.”
Insight
Greg Isenberg says niche products win by matching target community aesthetics
“One mistake, especially a lot of Silicon Valley companies do, is they don't, the product needs to speak to, for example, the Uber drivers, and that means it has to give them that warm and fuzzy feeling, that aesthetic, that artwork, that copy, that combined, t…”
Disclosure
Campbell: $1,000 Uber driver referral bonuses enabled him to quit Boeing
“Like I shouldn't have been making, I ended up quitting my day job within about nine months of starting the rideshare guy. And in a normal situation, I probably shouldn't have been able to do that. Uber was kind of like a once in a generation kind of company wh…”
Assertion Supported
Campbell: Rideshare driver referral payouts dropped to $100–$200
“So these days it's come down quite a bit and maybe more in the one to 200 dollars range for delivery services. It might be 25 to a hundred, maybe up to 200 and some of the top markets, but sort of ride share delivery.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Isenberg: ChatGPT hallucinated that I founded Waxman and invested in Uber
“And the e-commerce platform, quote unquote, Waxman, which was acquired by Groupon. Also not true. He has also been an advisor and investor for numerous startups. Including Uber, WeWork, and Snapchat. That is not true.”
What-if
Greg Isenberg: Uber would have failed starting as UberX in Europe
“I feel like if Uber would have started in, you know, in Paris or London as UberX. It wouldn't have worked.”
Disclosure
Campbell: Started driving for Uber and Lyft while working at Boeing
“In 2014, I was working full time as an aerospace engineer for Boeing, but I decided to start driving for Uber and Lyft on the side.”