why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Bloom: Twitter's $25B Buyout Debt Carries Massive Interest Obligations
“There's twenty-five billion dollars of debt sitting on the business now, and that debt has interest rates on it that aren't super low. And in an environment where so far the, you know, the baseline rate is rising right now, it's actually going to be a shitload…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Greg Isenberg: Twitter Stock Will Be Flat at $43.57 in 2026
“And then, five years from now, I think it's exact, it's exactly where we are today. It's like, 43, 57, or whatever.”
Assertion Contradicted
Isenberg: Venture capitalists dominated early Tech Twitter follower counts, not founders
“That's why people forget, but in tech Twitter, in the beginning, the people who had the most amount of followers weren't entrepreneurs. It was the VCs. Like the Fred Wilson's and, you know, all those guys.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cohen: Interacting with unbalanced follower-ratio accounts lowers Twitter reach
“Like if people have a follower to following ratio, that's really out of whack and you interact with them, it actually lowers your reputation and reach.”
Assertion Supported
Greg Isenberg: Twitter Monetizes Better Per User Than Snap and Discord
“Like, I will say that Twitter does monetize better than Snap and Discord.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Greg Isenberg: Twitter Stock Will Hit $58.43 By Late 2022
“Alright, I give it 58, 43, one year from now.”
Assertion Supported
Isenberg did not reach 10,000 Twitter followers until 2020
“It took me until 2020 to get to 10,000 followers, and I only really skyrocketed in 2020”
Assertion Supported
Feroldi: David Perell paid Cultural Tutor a salary to scale the account
“This is something that David Perel has done successfully with the cultural tutor. That account went from like zero to what, I don't even know what it's at now, like over well over a million Twitter followers. And David essentially just gave I forget the man, t…”
Assertion Supported
Toronto: Gary Vaynerchuk drew 1,000-person crowds to SXSW pop-ups via Twitter
“Back in the day, he had what was called the secret wine party back in 20, no, not even 22,007, 2008, even Predates me and we've been working together for 13 years. He would literally roll up to a bar. You did this started in South by Southwest say, Hey, I'm go…”
Assertion Contradicted
Andrew Wilkinson drives Twitter subscriptions by raffling monthly one-on-one video calls
“Andrew Wilkinson, the founder of Tiny Capital, has, like, a Twitter subscription, and it's, like, I don't know, 40 dollars or something, 30 or 40 dollars a month... He's gonna, like, pick someone random from his audience every month and have a thirty-minute co…”
Assertion Partly supported
Greathouse Fall: HustleGPT tweet reached 20M views and 250 Discord members
“20 some million people saw the tweet. 250 or so people joined a discord that we set up that are all participating in their own hustle GPT experiments”
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: The '100K Club' Twitter chat sparked massive audience growth
“But yeah, we created this group chat. We called it initially the a hundred K club. It was like peak COVID. You know, summer, summer, I think, 2020 spring and summer 2020. And the idea was, how do we how do we build big audiences? We all had 10 to 15,000 Twitte…”
Assertion Supported
Phan: Disney had a Twitter acquisition term sheet ready in 2016
“Disney actually looked at buying Twitter in 20 2016. I think they had a term sheet, everything was ready, and then Iger, like, woke up one day and was like, I don't want to deal with this fucking, I don't want to deal with the moderation bullshit that's going …”
Assertion Supported
Isenberg: StumbleUpon was once larger than both Reddit and Twitter
“I was at StumbleUpon and StumbleUpon was bigger than Reddit. And that's crazy. It's crazy to think it was bigger than Reddit and at one point bigger than Twitter.”
Assertion Contradicted
Isenberg: BoringMarketing.com started purely as an X account
“When we first started BoringMarketing.com you know, it was just a Twitter account where we talked about automating marketing with AI workflow and agents, and over time we built the business around it, but it literally started off as a X account.”