why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Senra: Spotify added 2M subscribers during Joe Rogan controversy
“And then his subscriber count over the few weeks went up. He added two million new subscribers”
Opinion
Azut: Building a new podcast player app is a bad idea
“I think that's a bad idea, like, to build an entire podcast player, like, no. Make sure that you operate within the big players.”
Opinion
Isenberg: A YouTube subscriber is worth $7; a newsletter subscriber, $1
“I think that YouTube is the most valuable because they're listening to you, they're watching you and they see you. So I don't know, a YouTube subscriber, if it's high quality seven dollars. I would say close second is probably Spotify and Apple, like audio lis…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schneider: Record labels start pursuing artists at 300K Spotify monthly listeners
“There's this threshold right around 300,000 that labels will approach you. So 303 100,000 monthly listeners on Spotify a month and labels start to look at you because you're at a dollar amount where they realize that they can make money off of you, especially …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pompliano: Joe Rogan generates $50M revenue per employee on a two-person team
“Joe Rogan's got two employees himself and one other person, and they have a hundred million dollar deal with Spotify. They do fifty million dollars per employee.”
Assertion Supported
Bloom: Only 2% of Spotify artists earn over $1,000 annually
“Only two percent of Spotify artists are earning more than 1000 dollars a year, and one 10th of one percent.1%, are earning over a hundred K per year.”
Opinion
Senra: Spotify founder Daniel Ek remains remarkably underrated
“You have a founder and CEO who's been running the company for 18 years, right? It's over, it's worth over a hundred billion dollars. He's only 41 or something like that. He, and yet he's still Somehow underrated.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pujji: Children's music creator Parry Gripp reportedly makes $1M monthly on Spotify
“And this guy reportedly makes like a million bucks a month. Because he just, I mean, you can just look at these hundreds of millions of streams of these songs, right?”
Assertion Supported
Spotify indexes podcast episode descriptions, but Apple Podcasts only indexes titles
“Spotify will index your summary of your description of the episode, but Apple only indexes the title.”
Disclosure
Chris Hutchins sees 50% subscriber listening rate on Apple, 12% on Spotify
“On Apple, it's like, 50% of the subscribers on Apple listen to an episode on average, and on Spotify, it's like, 12%.”
Assertion Supported
Bloom: Spotify's per-stream artist payout is far lower than Tidal's
“When you look at Spotify relative to other music streaming platforms, they are way lower than others, way lower than Tidal and some of the other players in terms of the average payout per 1000 streams for the artists.”
Insight
Greg Isenberg says major platforms like Spotify and Airbnb face unbundling
“I think there's a bunch of areas that you can unbundle that like people are not thinking about. A lot of people think about, you know, now, especially unbundling of Reddit, unbundling of Facebook, unbundling of Instagram. But what are some lesser known areas w…”
Prediction Held up
Senra: AI translation platforms will automatically localize podcast audio by language
“If you look at what 11 Labs is doing, what Spotify is doing, what YouTube's doing, My calculation was way off because it's not just English speaking people at the platform level. They're going to, you're going to be in Brazil. You're going to love founders. It…”
Insight
Spotify Wrapped succeeds as memetic marketing by enabling self-expression
“Spotify wrapped, they send that out. And you talk about it and it's fun. It's a representation of yourself, the same way a funny meme that you can repost to your story is a representation of yourself too.”
Disclosure
Isenberg: Podcast was renamed specifically to rank first on Spotify and YouTube
“And I think, you know, it's one of the reasons why I actually renamed this podcast from where it happens to the startup ideas podcast was so that when people would type in on Spotify startup ideas or on YouTube startup ideas, I would come up first.”