why aren't all 672 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Hildebrand: 90% of Subscribr's Code Was Written Using Claude
“Probably 90% of my code is written with cloud code.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gravl reached 70,000 subscribers and generated $440,000 in monthly revenue
“We launched around two years ago, and now we have over 70,000 subscribers. Last month we made over 440 K.”
Insight
Gargicevich: Most top-performing mobile app ads are UGC
“You'll see that most of the ads that work out there are
UGC content.”
Insight
Labeling a product as an AI app directly drives consumer sales
“Make sure that you are showing the users that this is an AI app because that sells now.”
Insight
Real-human 24/7 support significantly accelerated Gravl's user growth
“And one of the important things that we grew a lot with this, and that was our support. So we have a twenty-four-seven support chat inside the app, and that includes everything from articles to messages, and we'll have someone reply. An actual person, not an A…”
Disclosure
Lotz prefers exiting apps for $250K in months over raising venture capital
“I would rather, you know, build something and then in the six to 12 months exit it for like a cool 250 K.”
Insight
Messy backend operations kill many micro-app acquisition deals
“First one is that they make their apps way too complicated. And when I say complicated, I don't mean the actual app itself, but more so the operations behind the scenes, and they don't make it clean enough when you want to then get something acquired itself, w…”
Insight
Small cash-flowing consumer apps typically sell for 2x to 4x EBITDA
“In terms of valuations, they vary depending on the buyer, but I've seen between like two to four X EBITDA, I would say EBITDA be just essentially profit.”
Insight
A financially healthy consumer micro-app must maintain 70% profit margins
“You're looking to have something that's at least 70% profit margin. I would say it's for something to be super healthy.”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Uses Two-Second CTAs to Force Algorithmic Rewatch Loops
“The two-second call to action simply showing the product in your video works so well because if people miss that, they have to rewatch your video again, and it creates an engagement loop.”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Says Top-Of-Funnel Videos Should Skip Explaining Product Features
“You don't need to explain every part in your funnel for your video to be effective. All you have to do is take the person from your TikTok video To the app store. That's exactly what all these videos do, right? There's no explanation of the product. There's no…”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Believes High Posting Volume Negates Luck in Video Marketing
“The way to get there is by posting volume. Volume negates luck, right? So you need to be posting as much as possible, and when you get a video that pops off, recreate that concept.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steven Cravotta Paid Mega-Creators Just $110 Per Video Using Posted
“For example, this creator right here who has 552,000 followers, she made a post for us for 110 bucks. It got 30,000 views. This creator here with 2.7 million followers, a 110 bucks a video, or this creator right here who only had 768 followers, but made an ama…”
Insight
Steven Cravotta Warns Initial Ad Campaigns Cannot Optimize for Direct Purchases
“So your first campaign cannot be a purchase campaign. You can't optimize for those users just quite yet because TikTok and Facebook don't really know who those users are yet.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steven Cravotta Scaled Puff Count to $44K MRR on $82K Spend
“We spent a total of 82,000 dollars on our paid ads before exiting the business. This is how we scaled from three K to 44,000 dollars in monthly recurring revenue.”
Insight
Georgiou: SaaS companies relying solely on creator personal brands will fail
“I predicted that if I had just built my SaaS business on the back of my personal brand and me telling my own fans to buy it wouldn't survive in the wild. When I say wild, I mean in the market and Among the competition of other SaaS companies that would build s…”
Insight
Bhooshan: Only 10% of lifetime deal customers actively use the software
“So there is a churn in LTD customers. Also the only like 10% of these customers are really going to use your product after a certain period or around 20 to 25 customers.”
Insight
Bhooshan: Lifetime deals create urgency that cheap annual plans cannot match
“LTD buyers, actually, fee is special. They got a deal nobody else will get in future. So this sort of creates an urgency in FOMO that annual plans won't be able to match.”
Insight
Bhooshan: Indie hackers should build better versions of existing products
“I think my one piece of advice would be don't work in an unvalidated market and don't think of creating a very unique solution in a unique market. I think it's okay to build a better version of an existing product that's getting traction. As an indie hacker, i…”
Insight
Wysocka: Strong ASO Requires Aligning App Storefront Keywords With User Reviews
“They see on your product page, they download the app, they use it, and then they use the same keywords to describe their experience via the user reviews. That was like the holy circle. And if you can get that loop going, it, I think it's a really strong presen…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wysocka: Rootd users feel panic attack relief in under two minutes
“We've also realized that based on usage that we're able to now take a panic attack and users are feeling better from the panic attack within under two minutes.”
Insight
Find Micro-SaaS Opportunities by Replacing Complex Zapier Workflows
“I believe Zapier is a good place to go and find those kinds of opportunities. So if you go to Zapier and you check, for example, the most common Zapps, you will see that pair of two applications, for example, and I will have some QuickBooks and Sheets. There's…”
Insight
Zubrezki Uses Upwork Postings to Identify Micro-SaaS Product Ideas
“If I were to look for ideas, I would use, I think, Upwork would be a great place to find ideas, because you can go there and see what people are looking for to build. And maybe if you can translate that Into a known solution to offer to other users. I think th…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Removing the Free Plan Boosted Revenue to $8K in Two Months
“At the beginning we had a free plan and I realized that a lot of users were just using the free plan and that was enough for them. They didn't need to pay. So I made a decision to remove the free plan. It was risky. There was a lot of people angry about that, …”
Insight
France: Paste prompts as Markdown to preserve structure when prompting LLMs
“Markdown is a language that needs to be used as much as possible when we talk with LLM. So instead of just copy and paste, it works as well. But it's really better if we copy as markdown, so we keep the structure of the prompt.”
Insight
France: Reddit's anonymity and long-form culture make it the best pain-point goldmine
“And the best mind we actually have is Reddit. Why? Because Reddit is literally the place on the internet where The world is talking and the world is sharing their program because there is this anonymous kind of mindset and long conversation on Reddit that make…”
Insight
France: Going from AI landing page to functioning app remains difficult
“Even though you have the perfect landing page with the perfect copy for a very specific program in a trendy market, Going from there to having the business, having an app running is still a lot of work and yeah, Cursor can do it fast, but no, it's still a lot …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
John Rush operates 26 bootstrapped startups simultaneously after leaving VC
“My name is John Rush and I'm running 26 startups at the same time after quitting the VC world and joining the Bootstrap movement.”
Disclosure
John Rush grew SEO Bot to $100K MRR in under 12 months
“It has a hundred K MRR, and it has grown in less than 12 months, and it was one of the first SEO AI agent on the market.”
Disclosure
John Rush splits equity 50/50 with co-makers who handle coding and support
“And we share the ownership of fifty-fifty. It's just regular co-ownership. Where I take care of all the operation, legal parts, accounting, and the co-maker takes care of the coding and support.”
Disclosure
John Rush builds all his SaaS products using a proprietary AI generator
“The way I use AI for building the products is that I built my own tool, my own AI code generator that lets me build all my SaaS products, no code tools, and AI agents, and it works extremely well.”
Disclosure
John Rush's SEO Bot hits $100K monthly revenue with $30K API costs
“For example, in SEO Bot, we have around 70% margins. So we make a hundred K a month, and then we pay 30 K for APIs.”
Disclosure
John Rush plans to keep human customer support across all 26 products
“So I think I want to keep human support for all my products.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
John Rush: Building in public cut his product failure rate to 10%
“Before building in public, my failure rate was really high. Nine percent of the things I've done Failed. And when they start building in public, it flipped. So now only 10% of my products fail and 90% don't fail because I adjust them before I ship them just be…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
CJ: CodeGuide reached $42K MRR and 4,800 developers in three months
“So we launched on the 24th of December, and in just the last three months, we've grown CodeGuide to 42 K MRR with a community of more than 4800 AI developers”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
CJ projects CodeGuide will reach around $90K MRR this month
“And we're projecting to cross around 90 K this month.”
Insight
CJ: Piggybacking on existing AI tool audiences accelerates startup growth
“That's why it is growing really fast because I'm not reinventing my own audience. I'm just utilizing the AI coding tools audience, and we're just making that AI coding workflow better.”
Insight
CJ: Screen recording demos on X are ideal for product launches
“So Twitter is actually a really great platform to launch products. All you need to do is just share your screen, create a simple screen recording demo, and you just post it. And this type of content usually goes wild.”
Insight
CJ: Positioning SaaS as part of a tutorial blueprint drives organic growth
“In the hook, you actually talk about the problem and then you show them the exact blueprint. What's the ideal solution. And then you position your SaaS in between just a part of the solution. That type of content actually performs really well because that's bo…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
CJ: CodeGuide spends $3,500 monthly on operations, including $2,800 for OpenAI
“The biggest bill is OpenAI API, which is 2800 dollars. Then we also use Cloud API, and that costs us 300 plus dollars. Gemini Flash API is free right now. Cleric Dev is for user authentication. That's a very good tool. And then we use ConvertKit to send emails…”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Veed grew from zero to $6 million in revenue within two years
“Zero to one million in the first year. Four months later, two million. Two months later, three million. And then six months after that, it was six million. So it was zero to one to six. This, like, proper growth phase of the company going from 10, 20, 30, fort…”
Disclosure
Lane Wagoner: Boot.dev generates almost $1M per month in revenue
“And we're making almost a million dollars a month at the moment.”
Disclosure
Wagoner: Boot.dev sponsors gaming influencers rather than coding influencers
“So we've actually done most of our
YouTube influencer marketing to gaming audiences rather than coding audiences.”
Insight
Wagoner: Doing production work for influencers secures better sponsorship deals
“If you're going to work with influencers, there's one giant exploit
That you can take advantage of that doesn't work in most other channels, which is if you're incredibly easy to work with and you do a lot of work for the influencer, you can get better deals.”
Disclosure
Wagoner: Boot.dev generated $5.7M revenue and $2.5M profit in 2024
“So our total revenue for 20, 24 was 5.7 million dollars. The cost of goods sold on that revenue was only 300 K. So we spent around six to 700,000 dollars last year on salaries and like Full-time contractors. And then the bulk of our expenses were marketing exp…”
Insight
Wagoner: Early founders cannot just be idea guys who delegate execution
“I think a lot of founders get way ahead of themselves thinking like, I'm going to be the CEO. I'm the fucking idea guy, right? I'm going to delegate everything. I'm going to hire that salesperson, hire that marketer, hire that developer. But omitting the hard …”
Assertion Supported
Pieter Levels built his flight simulator entirely using AI coding tools
“In fact, Peter Levels built his game with 100%
AI coding tools”
Insight
Fricks: If he wouldn't pay to solve a problem, he won't build it
“So to me, validating ideas was first asking myself, is it a problem that I would pay for to solve? If I would pay for it, I consider it a lot more valuable and a painful problem. And if I wouldn't pay for it, I usually don't build it.”