supercuts / didnt-hold-up
Didn’t hold up
The most confident predictions the public record went against, highest certainty first. · 12 clips, 2 minutes, hands free.
0:00 / 0:06exact quote · 6.9s
1/12Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 years
Ben Lamm · 2026Didn’t hold upfull source →
1Lamm: Earth is forecasted to lose 50% of biodiversity within 25 yearsBen Lamm · 7sDidn’t hold up
2Bernauer predicts Radiant will complete and ship a reactor in 2025Doug Bernauer · 13sDidn’t hold up
3Ulevitch: All future autonomous vehicles will be electricDavid Ulevitch · 8sDidn’t hold up
4Power: Hadrian will open its Arizona factory by ChristmasChris Power · 11sDidn’t hold up
5Impulse Labs plans to ship its battery-integrated stove by late 2024Sam D'Amico · 3sDidn’t hold up
6Sadeghi predicts Nucleus will sequence 500,000 whole genomes by 2026Kian Sadeghi · 4sDidn’t hold up
7Franceschi: Incumbent ERP companies will not build autonomous AI agentsPedro Franceschi · 7sDidn’t hold up
8Vasavada: 60% chance of a recession in late 2025 or early 2026Samir Vasavada · 11sDidn’t hold up
9Power: Fed will cut rates close to 2021 ZERP levels within 12 monthsChris Power · 11sDidn’t hold up
10Waymo will be operating in six cities by the end of 2025Art Levy · 8sDidn’t hold up
11Alter: 2024 will be the third most active year for European VCMolly Alter · 7sDidn’t hold up
12The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2025Art Levy · 14sDidn’t hold up