why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laffont: SaaS must re-accelerate with AI or re-rate to 20x GAAP earnings
“So one of two things are going to have to change. Either companies are going to have to benefit from AI and re-accelerate the top line. And I think if you, again, listen to the workday earnings call yesterday, Anil, the CEO, essentially said his job is to come…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laffont: No Coatue portfolio company plans to cut engineering staff due to AI
“What I can tell you is not a single one of the companies that we're kind of involved with is saying, wow, we're seeing so much more efficiency. We want to cut our engineering staff in half, right?”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Mar 2026
Laffont: Microsoft lost nearly $1T in value over AI positioning concerns
“Microsoft, as an example, I think has lost almost a trillion dollars of value over that timeframe as people are questioning their positioning kind of in AI.”
Prediction Held up
Laffont: Top AI and tech unicorns will likely IPO within 24 months
“You know, some of them will probably go public in the next 12 to 24 months, so that'll be kind of one impact of it”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Laffont: Anthropic grew materially between fundraising kickoff and announcement
“What was interesting about this one is the projections and the scale of the business grew materially. In between the fundraising kind of being discussed to eventually kind of being announced. And I think that speaks to just the incredible adoption of clock cod…”
Assertion Partly supported
Laffont: Broadcom grows at 40% while trading cheaper than SaaS companies
“Avago, as an example, is growing almost 40%, right, Avago Broadcom, and it's trading at a cheaper multiple of gap earnings.”