The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wu: Nearly all software engineers will use coding agents within three years
“The rough answer for, you know, two, three years from now is roughly every software engineer in the world, and probably a lot more than all the Just the software engineers because I think a lot more people will be able to produce code and produce products and …”
Scott Wu Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 5:14 Inside the Fastest-Growing Category in AI: Scott Wu, CEO of $26B Cognition · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wu: AI will solve all intelligence problems, but not in six months
“I really don't think that there are, like, intelligence problems that AI will not solve in the long term. I just don't think of that as, like, it's gonna be all over in six months.”
Scott Wu Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 31:18 Inside the Fastest-Growing Category in AI: Scott Wu, CEO of $26B Cognition · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott Wu: Single-use and self-driving software will exist
“Like single use software is going to exist. Like self-driving software is going to exist, right?”
Scott Wu Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 39:29 Inside the Fastest-Growing Category in AI: Scott Wu, CEO of $26B Cognition · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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