why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Alter: European VC funds beat North American funds in 10-year net IRR
“It's not surprising that when you, again, look at the numbers over a 10 and 15 year time horizon, European VC funds have yielded higher net IRR compared to North American ones.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Alter: 2024 will be the third most active year for European VC
“You know, if the pace continues, I think twenty-twenty-four will become the third most active year ever for VC funding in Europe.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Alter: Declining birth rates and onshoring will drive software-for-hardware investment
“You have things like global onshoring, declining birth rates, which has more of an impact than you would think. And the threat of Chinese competition as well. These factors have lit a fire underneath manufacturing teams to push themselves on efficiency. And so…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alter: Toyota, Boeing, and Samsung pay tens to hundreds of millions for legacy software
“Toyota we found pays Matlab, fifty million dollars a year. Boeing pays Simulink and MATLAB hundreds of millions. Samsung has an eight figure contract with Atlassian.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Alter: AI will inevitably disrupt legacy engineering and simulation software tools
“Simulation tools are going to have a moment and AI Is and will continue to come for them.”
Assertion Supported
Alter: European VC funding hit $30 billion in H1 2024, up 12%
“VC funding in Europe reached about thirty billion the first half of 24. That's a 12% increase to twenty-twenty-three.”
Assertion Supported
Alter: Spotify and Klarna alumni founded 70 venture-backed startups in Stockholm
“Spotify and Klarna alums have spawned 70 venture backed companies in Stockholm from two companies.”
Assertion Supported
Alter: Public SaaS average revenue growth is projected at historically low 16%
“In 2024, the average growth rate for public SaaS companies is expected to be 16%, super low, like relative to history.”
Assertion Supported
Alter: Government spending accounts for 36% of US GDP
“36% of U.S. GDP is spent on government spend.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alter: GovDash cuts government RFP response time from two weeks to two hours
“And then they automatically create a very compliant outline To the RFP you're trying to respond to, and it takes two hours instead of two weeks for them to do this process.”