The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Constant AI Assistants Will Raise the World's Net IQ by 50 Points
“In general, I think the net IQ of the world is about to go up like 50 points. Like we're surrounded by people, not in Silicon Valley, of course, To quote the Big Lebowski, not a nom, of course. Right. The average IQ is still a hundred. I think the average IQ w…”
Pure-Play Software Lacking Proprietary Data Will Be Replaced
“I think companies that have built software orally and just sell that software are very vulnerable. Like the bar for quality of software is going up rapidly... If you really hate some piece of software that you're using, And it's just software doesn't have some…”
Consumer AI Will Quickly Flush Out Fine-Print Business Models
“The willingness to put up with random obnoxious things like low quality or crappy terms or products that pretend to be something they're not, like all of that is just gonna get flushed out very quickly. And companies that have business models that are buried i…”
Software Engineering Will Shift from Syntax to Taste
“Maybe soon enough we'll spend zero time learning the exact minutia of syntactic Decisions of each programming language, but the conversation with the machine around what you as a software sculptor would consider to be elegant, I think will remain.”
AI Productivity Gains Will Amplify the US Competitive Advantage
“I tend to believe in the former just because I'm being an American by choice. You sort of better be a patriot. Otherwise, what exactly were you thinking? And I am. So I tend to think that we will probably end up with just a Amplification of our advantage.”
Entertainment-Driven Shopping Will Never Become Entirely Robotic
“So forms of shopping that are pure entertainment are never going to go entirely robotic.”
AI Assistants Will Take Over Price Discovery and Deal Hunting
“There's things like price discovery. There's things like Deal hunting and all of that sort of fairly easy to imagine if you're, whenever you caught yourself thinking, I wish I had an assistant to do this for me. You will now like that. That's where it's all go…”