The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steinman: AI will cause a Cambrian explosion in software vulnerability discovery
“So what it really means is one, the discovery of vulnerabilities in systems is very likely Going to experience this like Cambrian explosion, as people say, right? What took a single person or a group of people, you know, a lot of time, a lot of energy to try a…”
Joshua Steinman Oct 5, 2025 ▶ 48:18 CEOs of Epirus & Galvanick on the Future of Defense & Cybersecurity · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Held up
Steinman: The US will not mandate security clearances for AI engineers
“I think they should. I don't think they will. It's just really hard, right? Like you're gonna go to a private company and say these people have to have clearances.”
Joshua Steinman Oct 5, 2025 ▶ 51:35 CEOs of Epirus & Galvanick on the Future of Defense & Cybersecurity · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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