The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Siddharth: Agentic AI will replace services firms like McKinsey, BCG, and Accenture
“So I think like Turing will probably replace companies like McKinsey, Bain, BCG, and every services company like Accenture, TCS, Wipro, Infosys, like all of these companies doing vanilla services that's going to be automated with these agentic systems.”
Siddharth: Solving multimodality, reasoning, tool use, and coding yields ASI
“Turing's the world's leading research accelerator, working with all of these frontier labs to advance them along I would say the four pillars of superintelligence which is multimodality, reasoning, tool use, and coding. If you solve these four things, you will…”
Siddharth: AI will automate $30 trillion of global knowledge work
“This is like, if you look at those four dimensional, if you look at that four dimensional matrix, that's 30 trillion dollars of knowledge work that is going to be automated.”
Siddharth: Custom LLMs will allow investment firms to employ fewer analysts
“I think, like, the best firms are already doing this, ah, to help an investment analyst make better decisions faster, and eventually with significantly fewer people.”
Siddharth: Turing works with seven of the eight frontier AI labs
“We work with seven out of the eight Frontier Labs. We work with OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, anybody that's building a Frontier Foundation model, we are probably working with them already.”
Siddharth: Public internet data for pre-training AI ran out three years ago
“These models ate the internet when they were pre-trained, but the internet data is used up. It was used up like three years ago, right?”
Siddharth: AI will progress steadily rather than via rapid takeoff
“I don't think rapid takeoff is how things will unfold. I think it's going to be steady, continuous progress. Every step of the way, we're going to keep moving forward and it's going to be great, and it's great for a few reasons.”
Siddharth: Turing's Agentic Coding Data Stumps All Current AI Models
“We are creating data for coding now, for agentic coding, that would stump all of today's models and agents built on top of those models.”