why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Romo: Helios Reaches GEO in Eight Hours Cheaper Than Falcon Heavy
“Helios gets them to their same, same place they want to go the same day to launch eight hours later. And it's cheaper than a Falcon Heavy, more expensive than Falcon Nine, obviously, because they need to play for, pay for that and the Helios”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Romo: Satellite life extension will never be useful in LEO
“There are some companies that are working on life extension. That's useful in GEO, where satellites are really expensive, and so therefore we should extend their life a little bit. Never gonna be useful in LEO. It's not a, LEO, just replace it. It's easy to ge…”
Assertion Supported
Romo: GEO Communications Satellite Market Has Been Flat to Down for 10 Years
“The Geo ComSat market, you just look at the data, it's kind of flat to down in the last 10 years. It's not grown heavily.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Romo: China is funding five companies to duplicate SpaceX's launch capacity
“China now has consistent access to space, and has a massive program to essentially duplicate our launch capacity. They've got, you know, five different companies trying to be SpaceX over there that they're throwing lots and lots of money at.”
Assertion Supported
Romo: Space Force budget request has grown to $71 billion
“And this is part of why you see Space Force's budget going from seventeen billion dollars a few years ago to now the request is for seventy one billion dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Romo: 137 Ventures holds over 1% of SpaceX
“That's a real big endorsement coming from somebody who runs more than one percent of SpaceX.”
Assertion Contradicted
Romo: Impulse's Helios stage is roughly the size of Falcon 1's second stage
“We've got our Helios program which is the build effectively at the third stage for medium launch vehicles. That's building a rocket stage. You know, it's like, it's roughly the same size as like the second stage of Falcon one, for example, like as a size of th…”
Assertion Supported
Romo: Impulse Space built its first Mira spacecraft in 14 months
“When I got here, the company had been working on the Mira vehicle for a little while, and it had, Mira went from not existing to being built and ready to fly in about 14 months, so really, really fast, which is testament to Tom and the talent the team had.”
Assertion Partly supported
Romo: Falcon Heavy costs $70M to $80M more than Falcon 9
“When you look at, like, the difference between a Falcon nine and a Falcon Heavy, it's like 70, eighty million dollars, something like that historically.”
Assertion Supported
Romo: Tom Mueller was employee 001 in SpaceX's payroll system
“Tom, Tom was officially in the payroll system the first. Employee zero zero one.”
Assertion Supported
Romo: Impulse Space headcount is nearly 500 people
“I mean, we're companies Now, almost 500 people.”