The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

1resolved → 0open predictions → 1held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated

Only a couple of massive drone companies will emerge despite growing demand

“I don't think there are going to be a hundred massive drone companies. I think there will be a couple. I do think that drones are going to play a major role in, you know you know, future conflicts and defense.”

Eric Crispin May 16, 2025 ▶ 47:02 How Altimeter's $10B AUM Fund Is Investing In Aerospace, Defense, & Hardtech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

Prediction Held up

SpaceX will complete more than 160 rocket launches in 2025

“I think it will for sure be above one 50, but given those options, above one 60, maybe even one 70.”

Eric Crispin May 16, 2025 ▶ 54:09 How Altimeter's $10B AUM Fund Is Investing In Aerospace, Defense, & Hardtech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea

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The Ledger

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