The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Strachman predicts AGI will arrive in seven to ten years
“I think 20 years is too far out. I think five years is probably too soon. Yeah, I don't know. I want to say between seven and 10, something like that.”
Danielle Strachman Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 52:24 Inside the $750B+ Thiel Fellowship · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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