The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Machines will perform the vast majority of cognitive work in 20 years
“And I think that you look 20 years out, and the vast majority of cognitive work is done by machines, just like the vast majority of physical work is done by machines.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 11:45 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Computing can shift from digital to analog like EVs replaced ICE
“Just like we had a flip from combustion engines to EV for some, not all of the world we can have a flip to analog.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 25:52 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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