The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Machines will perform the vast majority of cognitive work in 20 years
“And I think that you look 20 years out, and the vast majority of cognitive work is done by machines, just like the vast majority of physical work is done by machines.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 11:45 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Buhler: Most venture investors completely ignored AI until 2022
“I think the vast majority of investors didn't really look into AI ML until 2022. The vast majority.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 19:00 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Computing can shift from digital to analog like EVs replaced ICE
“Just like we had a flip from combustion engines to EV for some, not all of the world we can have a flip to analog.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 25:52 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Insight
Buhler: First-time founders are completely uncalibrated on valuation expectations
“I find first time founders are zero percent calibrated to that type of thinking, and a few years in it is very difficult for them. And then repeat founders, of whom I work with several, always have a very similar logic because they've seen what happens, even i…”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 35:09 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bueller: Vast majority of academia believed OpenAI's research would fail
“Remember, the vast majority of academia, when OpenAI was doing their research that now has changed the world, would have thought that that would fail.”
Constantine Bueller Feb 7, 2026 ▶ 1:01:20 Inside the $4.5B Startup Building Brain-Inspired Chips for AI · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 160 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.