The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 20 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Josephs: Marjorie Taylor Greene bought major tech stocks surrounding tariff announcements
“She started buying the day after they paused it. The day before and the day after, on the eighth and ninth. She bought Apple, she bought Qualcomm, she bought Nvidia, AMD, ASML.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 14:43 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: About $350M in capital follows Nancy Pelosi's trades on Autopilot
“Since then she has probably three hundred fifty million dollars following her, which is crazy. She's got her own little mini hedge fund.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 26:26 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Josephs: Autopilot's Nancy Pelosi tracker outperformed the S&P 500 by 30%
“Like, in 2024, for example Our Pelosi tracker that we track her filings, not the actual days of the trade, obviously, and she was up 54%. She outperformed the SPY by 30%.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 8:29 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Josephs: Richard Burr sold $1.4M in stocks after publishing reassuring COVID-19 op-ed
“He called up his financial advisor, in his, him and his financial advisor, they liquidated their portfolio, their retirement account, a week after he wrote that op-ed telling the world to kind of stay calm. Sold off 1.4 million dollars of his entire retirement…”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 10:16 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Josephs: Majority of politicians tracked by Autopilot outperform the market
“I haven't checked on him in a while, but the other politicians that we do track, the majority of them do outperform, but this year is going to be an interesting one because of the different market dynamics.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 28:13 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Kalshi and prediction markets will be right more often than media
“And my bet is Calci's gonna be right more often than not, because it's, like, that's just the way of the land. That's how predictive markets work.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 55:53 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot is bipartisan and targets more Republicans than Democrats
“We are very bipartisan. We call out more Republicans probably than Democrats, but we just have the Pelosi tracker name.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 1:03:50 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Marjorie Taylor Greene files stock trades in a reasonable timeframe
“To her credit, she's one of the few politicians that actually files her dates, trades, in a reasonable time frame.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 13:07 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Josephs: 86% of Americans support banning congressional stock trading
“86% of Americans want them banned.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 15:38 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Josephs: JD Vance divested individual stocks to hold Bitcoin, indexes, and gold
“Like, to JD Vance's credit, I think he divested out of his individual stocks. He now only owns Bitcoin, S&P, QQQ, Dow and some gold. So he is very, kind of, aligned with America. If America wins, his portfolio will win. But he's not in, you know, he's not in m…”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 19:37 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot reached $500M in traded AUM and 2.5M downloads
“I think we have, right, 2.5 million downloads. Six figures of active subscribers, and then on the AUM, because we're a registered investment advisor, this is all public. What's fascinating, what kind of, I'm proud of, is like, People trust us with their money.…”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 30:53 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot generates eight figures in revenue with consistent MoM growth
“We do eight figures in revenue. We aren't public with how much, but Eight figures in revenue. It's growing month over month. We've never really had a down month.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 32:06 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot's Instagram account generates more impressions than its Twitter
“We run an Instagram account with a million followers. It's called the Politician Trade Tracker. And that thing gets, if not more impressions than Pelosi Tracker on Twitter.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 4:50 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot has 9-10 creator portfolios live and 30-40 in queue
“And we've been able to now scale this to now where we have nine or 10 pilots is what we call them. Probably like 30 to 40 waiting to launch.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 25:08 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot has distributed $500,000 in creator payouts to date
“And we've done half a million of creator payouts so far.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 25:16 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot Generates 70 Million Monthly Social Media Impressions
“We probably bring in, like, I would say probably, like, just to be conservative, like, seventy million impressions a month across all of our stuff.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 30:37 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Prediction Partly held up
Josephs: Autopilot Will Reach $1 Billion in Traded AUM by Year-End
“I'm confident and I'm excited that we'll be able to build momentum from current assets of half a billion to connected assets, which should hopefully get us to a billion by the end of the year.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 31:50 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Contradicted
Josephs: Autopilot has $40M copying an AI-generated ChatGPT investment portfolio
“That got us the top 15 in the App Store. And I think now we have forty million dollars following that GPT portfolio.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 40:02 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Top creators on Autopilot generate over six figures annually
“Our, one of the businesses on our platform makes over like, easily over six figures a year, and it's just like, they're putting stuff up, we don't want to be too public with the numbers, but these guys are doing well, and like, there's random people on Twitter…”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 1:05:31 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot's AI-generated Pelosi video gained 5M organic views
“So, like, at the end of the day, that video that took two hours got us five million of organic views.”
Chris Josephs Apr 18, 2025 ▶ 38:40 Inside the $350M Pelosi Stock Tracker · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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