why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2031
Singerman predicts proposed wealth taxes will go national across the US
“Oh, that's definitely going national.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singerman argues wealth taxes hurt the middle class more than billionaires
“This is going to impact the middle class way more than it's going to affect mobile billionaires.”
Assertion Supported
Singerman claims a 12-year 3x venture fund loses to Vanguard
“A venture fund, like, three X's over the course of, like, 10 to 12 years, I don't even think that that beats the S&P. I'm pretty sure it, like, loses to a Vanguard no-load index fund.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Singerman claims trillions of dollars have already left California
“It has, for sure.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Singerman reveals Founders Fund invested over 30% of a fund into Palantir
“You know, we put a lot of money into it. I think we put like 30 something percent of.”
Assertion Supported
Singerman was the first investor in Oculus
“So I was the first investor in, in Oculus and Oculus was a company that I invested in, not just on the street. I mean, I obviously Brennan Palmer great, but like, I was like, try the actual product and I'm not a product person, but I tried the actual product a…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Singerman predicts human artifacts will become more valuable in the AI era
“Like, I think the true human, like, iconic things are just going to be more and more valuable from, not just from a monetary perspective, but from a, Mindshare perspective, from like a you know, from an emotional perspective, right?”