why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: 80% of Crypto Trading Volume Moved Offshore
“Like most people don't know that 80% of the trading volume went offshore for crypto because of the lack of clarity in the US.”
Prediction Held up
Armstrong: AI Agents Will Use Base Wallets to Form an Agentic Economy
“We're also going to see AI agents have their own financial accounts, and we're powering that with the base, like, MCP API so they can have their own self-custodial wallet now and start to have a true agentic economy, paying for goods and services, hiring other…”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Four billion people worldwide are unbrokered without U.S. investment access
“There's actually about four billion people in the world today who are unbrokered. They don't have access to any high-quality U.S. Investments.”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Coinbase saw strong volume on SpaceX pre-IPO perps
“So we launched with SpaceX, A few weeks ago before they went public, and we saw quite a lot of volume on there.”
Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong: Coinbase Was First in the US Approved for Crypto Perp Futures
“Getting these approvals in the US we were the first for These perpetual style futures and things like that for crypto and options trading. We're the first company to do that. I don't think any other company in the U S has gotten that yet.”
Assertion Contradicted
Armstrong: Existing tokenized stock products are synthetic derivatives, not directly backed
“There are some products that are out there today, but they're actually not one-to-one backed by the stock itself. They are a derivative or a synthetic. So there are ways to get exposure, but you're not actually owning the underlying asset.”
Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong: 83% of Americans say the financial system is not working for them
“If you survey Americans, something like 80, I think 83% of them say that the financial system is not currently working for them”
Assertion Partly supported
Armstrong: Legacy finance relies on outdated 1990s COBOL mainframe code
“Our financial system is the legacy financial system is it's slow. It's creaky. It's old. You know, in many cases it's built on code that was written like in the nineties and COBOL and like these kind of mainframe computers. And a lot of that stuff just Hasn't …”
Assertion Contradicted
Armstrong: The US Ranks 11th or 12th Globally in Economic Freedom
“And I think that America is one of the more free market capitalist countries in the world. It's not the most. It's, I think it's in the top 11 or 12. You can actually go look at the rankings, right? There's various organizations that publish rankings of the ec…”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Base enables sub-second USDC global transfers for under a cent
“You know, with crypto rails, you can now send money instantly less than a second anywhere in the world for less than a cent, and you can do that on the base network with USDC, for instance, and that's democratizing payments, right, and just bringing, lowering …”
Assertion Supported
Armstrong: Coinbase stores more crypto than any other company globally
“In terms of Coinbase's unique advantage, I mean, so we're storing more crypto than any other company in the world.”