The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mathew: US Financial Markets Will Absorb Multi-Trillion-Dollar Tech IPOs
“And so I think this is just the power of the financial markets in the United States specifically, I think we can absorb it. I think we will. I think you'll see a number of other countries and investors from all over the world and mom and pop, you know, it's no…”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 50:03 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: Elon Musk is reserving 30% of the SpaceX IPO for retail
“And so Elon reserving 30% of the SpaceX IPO for retail investors, I think is a really great thing.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 49:14 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mathew: Supabase is growing 350% at hundreds of millions in scale
“So we can take Supabase, for example, which is the backend database to a lot of agent workflows and agent applications. That's growing 350% at hundreds of million dollars of scale, and they have virtually no salespeople. It's all inbound.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 27:55 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Mathew: Most agentic workflow usage is coming from inside enterprises
“Most of the usage that we're seeing is actually coming from inside the enterprise.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 28:18 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Partly supported
Mathew: Supabase grew from under 1M to 9M developers in over a year
“They just crossed nine million developers You know, last week when we first invested, it had under a million developers, and that was at the beginning of last year.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 32:01 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: Cyera is the highest-valued private security company
“And so, they're actually one of the, I think they're the highest valued private security company on the market.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 39:28 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: Accel bought Facebook secondary shares around a $20B valuation
“We, so we initially invested in Facebook in 2005. We led the series A out of our early stage fund, and we created this growth vehicle in 2008. Miles and I joined in 2008 and 2009, and one of the first opportunities was to buy some Facebook secondary that came …”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 3:52 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Mathew: 60% of Y Combinator companies now choose Supabase
“So, 60% of YC companies now choose Supabase.”
Arun Mathew Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 31:08 Accel: The Quiet Firm Behind Facebook, Cursor, Nebius, Lovable, Vercel · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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