why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Maslin: Copy-pasting Chinese manufacturing methods to the US will fail
“If you're just copying and pasting China into the United States and trying to build a manufacturing business around that, you are doomed. You will absolutely fail because when you think about the unit economics, labor costs, Environmental regulations. Permits.…”
Assertion Partly supported
Maslin: Vulcan Elements won DOD contracts across every military branch
“One thing that we're really proud of here is we've won several DOD contracts over the line, over the last nine months with every branch of the military, top priority programs, making sure that the defense industrial base has the material that it needs to go an…”
Opinion
Vulcan CEO John Maslin is bullish on manufacturing under Trump
“I'm bullish. I think he's already doing it. I can think of a couple of projects, you know, personally in the rare space where we can really put our thumb on the scale and make that happen. I think it's going to take an entire government and industry coalition …”
Disclosure
Vulcan Elements Raises $65M Series A Led by Altimeter
“So we're excited to announce that we have raised a sixty-five million dollar Series A bringing us up to a total investment to date of seventy-five million dollars. This round is led by Altimeter, so Brad Gerstner and Eric Kreisman, major participation from Raj…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan Elements produced and shipped magnets within four months
“And in four months, we are already producing magnets. We are making magnets and shipping them to customers qualifying them with customers across our disk drives for data centers that enable AI, automotive applications. Drones, robotics several different defens…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan Elements aims to 5x-20x factory output using software in a few years
“We're collecting all of that data, we're building out our software team, and we're thinking about how we actually implement that into our facilities so that we can five, 10, 20 X our output with the same type of machinery in a couple of years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan Elements booked over 95% of pilot facility capacity a year ago
“We actually sold it out over 12 months ago over 95% capacity, leaving a little bit for, you know, samples for customers that we really want to go and work with.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan feeds manufacturing data into AI models within an hour
“We have a full analytics and characterization lab where within an hour of every step of the process, we're feeding that data into our own models and then training them to tell us Hey, maybe run that piece of equipment for 10 more minutes or at 10 degrees hotte…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan Elements had 500 applicants for five roles without marketing
“You know, the last five positions that we've filled, we had over 500 applications and that's with zero marketing.”
Disclosure
Vulcan co-developed the first 21st-century US magnet-making equipment
“So what we had to do is we had to actually co-develop some of the first pieces of magnet making equipment in the United States in the 21st century.”
Assertion Supported
Maslin: Vulcan co-founder opened one of first US magnetics labs in 20 years
“My co-founder, he's a PhD in electrical engineering with a focus on magnetics. He opened one of the first rare with magnetic slabs in the United States in two decades. Down at the University of Central Florida.”
Disclosure
Maslin: Vulcan Elements employs zero desk engineers
“There are no desk engineers at this company.”
Disclosure
'Chip War' author Chris Miller advises Vulcan Elements
“Chris Miller the author of Chip Wars. He's been a phenomenal advisor for a year.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Maslin: Vulcan Elements bought main factory equipment at 20 cents on dollar
“Some of the pieces of equipment, one of the main pieces of equipment, we were actually able to get at auction at 20 cents on the dollar, and then we refurbished it. It works perfectly. We use it every single day.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vulcan Elements closed its Series A term sheets in four weeks
“We were able to go from initial conversations to sign term sheets in about four weeks.”
Disclosure
Maslin: Vulcan Elements will pick commercial manufacturing site within months
“So one thing that we're doing with this fresh set of capital is we're moving to commercial scale. We're completing a multi-state site search right now. We're gonna be making that determination here over the next couple of months.”
Disclosure
Maslin: Former Trump Deputy NSA Nadia Shadlow Advises Vulcan Elements
“Another phenomenal advisor we have is Nadia Shadlow. She's a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. She was the deputy national security advisor for strategy under the first Trump administration.”