The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Shadbolt: Quantum commercial adoption will precede cryptographic security risks
“You should get like an economic early warning sign essentially where you should see quantum computing companies Doing commercially impactful things, making money, and then eventually scaling towards systems that are big enough to be cryptographically relevant.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 1:22:35 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: Australia's chief scientist found PsiQuantum a 'country mile ahead'
“And then at the end of that, I don't know, 18 month process she concludes that we're a country mile ahead of anyone else.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 41:18 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: Nobody has built a useful quantum computer yet
“Nobody has a useful quantum computer.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 47:34 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum has raised more private capital than any quantum peer
“That's right to my knowledge, yeah.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 5:30 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum secured $1B AUD Australian deal for Brisbane quantum computer
“Last year we announced these major deals with the Australian government. So that's about a billion dollar Australian deal for us to build a very large scale quantum computer in Brisbane.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 3:11 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum alone produces its optical material on 300mm wafers
“We're the only people in the world who make that on a 300 millimeter wafer.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 1:28:40 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum builds 35-layer superconducting wafers in commercial foundries
“So when I look at those wafers that you've seen in our facility, and I think about the fact that there's 35 layers of stuff on that wafer, that there's a superconducting material inside, and that it was made in a commercial foundry next to regular chips.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 1:43:54 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum is one of two companies in DARPA's final quantum phase
“And they have just graduated to the final phase of our program. They're one of two companies to have reached that point.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 44:09 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: PsiQuantum is anchor tenant of $500M Chicago quantum campus
“And then also that we would be the anchor tenant Of a new five hundred million dollar quantum computing campus that's being built in Chicago.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 3:24 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Shadbolt: BTO is the strongest electro-optic material known to science
“It's made with the strongest electro optic material known to science.”
Pete Shadbolt Sep 10, 2025 ▶ 1:41:28 Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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