why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Barton: OpenAI has 800M WAU with engagement rivaling Instagram
“OpenAI's got, what, like, eight hundred million weekly active users. Spending, like, spending, by my estimates, close to the amount of time every day that is spent on Instagram.”
Assertion Partly supported
Barton: Meta GPU recommendation upgrades drove a 15% Instagram usage jump
“And if you look at Instagram time spent, basically it was flat for, I don't know, maybe 18 months to six months ago. And now, you know, you would spend 40 minutes a day, and now that's gone up like 15% in just the past six months, because they basically took t…”
Assertion Partly supported
Agrawal: ChatGPT exhibits rare retention 'smile curve' like TikTok and Instagram
“And ChatGPT exhibits a smile curve. The other apps that exhibit smile curves are Instagram, and TikTok.”
Opinion
X users are two years behind TikTok on humor and content tolerance
“I think the first step of the pyramid is Twitter or people on Twitter are about two years behind when it comes to humor compared to people on Instagram, TikTok.”
Insight
Josephs: Twitter content lacks the algorithmic lifespan of Instagram and TikTok
“One of the downsides of creating content on Twitter is it has a lifespan on it. So when you tweet about it, you're not gonna go on the For You page and see a tweet from Nancy Pelosi Tracker six months ago, but on Instagram and TikTok you can.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josephs: Autopilot's Instagram account generates more impressions than its Twitter
“We run an Instagram account with a million followers. It's called the Politician Trade Tracker. And that thing gets, if not more impressions than Pelosi Tracker on Twitter.”