The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Barton: Marketing spend will shift from Meta to AI agents and Shopify
“So that 20% that I'm spending on marketing to, you know, maybe it was meta, is now gonna, like, that profit pool is gonna be more going toward a Shopify or the actual agent players themselves, OpenAI or Gemini.”
Michael Barton Oct 23, 2025 ▶ 16:54 Inside Coatue: $70B Hedge Fund’s AI & Retail Strategy · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agrawal: ChatGPT's User Base Is 10x Larger Than All Rivals Combined
“If you took the user count of ChatGPT on one side, And all the other AI apps on the other side, let's do perplexity, and Claude, and Croc, and Gemini, and you know, long tail of apps that people use. Add them all up, multiplied by 10, it's probably still less …”
Apoorv Agrawal Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 4:13 Understanding OpenAI’s $500B Valuation · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Whop CTO prefers Google Gemini for coding due to fewer hallucinations
“I'm bullish on Gemini right now. I use it. I use it for a lot of my code right now, and I go back and forth, and it's really good at not being delirious. Like, at the end, it circles back to what you asked, which is beautiful. So I'm bullish on Gemini. That's …”
Jack Sharky May 23, 2025 ▶ 52:02 How Whop Is Making $1.2+ Billion For Creators · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Opinion
Randle: Gemini leads multimodal AI while Claude and GPT-5 lead coding
“The models at any given point are good at different things, and so Gemini is like the best multimodal model. You know, Claude typically has the best coding model, although now a lot of people think GPT-Five. Is actually better than the latest Opus model at cod…”
Ev Randle Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 26:04 Benchmark's AI Bets: Cerebras, Sierra, Legora, Fireworks, Starcloud, Gumloop.. · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cohen: Anthropic's Claude is too slow for real-time phone calls
“We've tried Gemini, Claude and Anthropic are a little bit too slow for a phone call, unfortunately.”
Alex Cohen Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 32:12 Meme Lord CEO Raises $22.5M Series A for Hello Patient · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
Assertion Supported
Feldman: Google TPU Co-Design with Gemini and DeepMind Is a Major Advantage
“One of the advantages Google has is that their TPU can be designed in collaboration with the team building Gemini or the team of DeepMind, and so they can inform their choices back and forth, and that's an enormously powerful thing that is surprisingly relativ…”
Andrew Feldman Jul 13, 2026 ▶ 17:18 Andrew Feldman on Building a Chip 58x Larger Than Nvidia's · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea
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