Tony Kim (Head of Global Technology at BlackRock) discusses why treating semiconductor companies as low-margin commodity businesses is historically inaccurate.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tony Kim: AI compute requires $10 trillion in CapEx over five years
“So this is the irony of it all, that we're, the trillion dollars of CapEx this year, and the 10 trillion over the next five years that are coming,
Is to move data centimeters and millimeters.
That's AI.”
Insight
Tech revenues are shifting from high-margin cloud to lower-margin AI compute
“Like, these, you must build these new data centers, because at some point, all of your revenue will become here, and this revenue over here in the old data center, that was asset light, high margin, is now moving to asset heavy, lower margin, big dollars, but …”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Tony Kim: Utility-scale, million-qubit quantum computers will arrive around 2030
“It's very interesting when you look at these long-dated technologies. All roads converge to 2030. It's like quantum computing, utility scale, logically error-corrected, million-qubit quantum computer, twenty-thirty.”
Prediction Held up
Tony Kim: China has 30 to 40 potential robotics IPOs this year
“I'm looking at the current pipeline. I see 30, 40 potential IPOs this year in China.”
Insight
Future robotics will pair Chinese-manufactured physical bodies with Western AI brains
“And then what you might have is ultimately you can mix and match Chinese physical robot with a Western brain. And I know that's happening.”
Insight
Tony Kim: Enterprises must position themselves within the AI token flow
“So, you must be in this token flow to either resell or repackage the tokens with your context and your very specific application. You serving the token with your intelligence? Is it the proprietary closed source token? Is it the open source token? Sitting on a…”