Prediction certainty 2/5 debate potential 3/5

Housel: AI transforming society completely may take 10 to 20 years

Morgan Housel · Morgan Housel: Understanding Elon Musk, Jensen Huang and Other Outliers in Tech · Sourcery with Molly O'Shea · Apr 7, 2024 · at 32:34

Morgan Housel reflects on generative AI (like ChatGPT and Claude 3) and compares its adoption timeline to historical technology shifts.

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“It would not be shocking at all if yes, this is like, this is what's going to completely transform the future. But when I say the future, it might mean 10 or 20 years from now. Now things are moving so ridiculously fast. I don't know if you've played with Claude III. Have you played around with Claude III? But it's, so the speed at which these things are moving is astounding. And, but it's, it, it's not crazy to think that to get to a world in which all of our lives are completely upended and think, and there's like, there, there's no more remnants of what the past used to be sort of like what the internet did to like typewriters kind of thing for that to take decades.”

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