The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 40 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Most SDRs and qualifying BDRs will be eliminated by 2026
“And I really think most SDRs will die next year, but the meat, and I know we throw around these terms differently. The BDR that sort of smarmily qualifies you that that's going to die. Like we just, there's no need for that with these tools.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 10, 2025 ▶ 28:59 How to Use AI to Hyper-Customize Go-To-Market at Scale with SaaStr's CEO and Chief AI Officer
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: All Top US Tech Companies Are Run by Asian/Indian Americans
“All the top US tech companies are run by Asian Americans or Indian Americans. All of them, right? Am I, are there any that aren't? AMD, Microsoft, Google, who am I missing?”
Jason Lemkin Mar 10, 2023 ▶ 11:25 SaaStr APAC AMA with Jason Lemkin, SaaStr CEO
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Mobile app creation quintupled in late 2025 due to vibe coding
“At the end of last year, just all of a sudden the number of mobile apps like quintupled at the end of last year because of vibe coding, and it's just starting.”
Jason Lemkin Feb 15, 2026 ▶ 19:02 Software Stocks Have Massively Crashed. Here's What Founders Need to Know.
Assertion Contradicted
AI-Native Burn Multiples Fall to 0.4x at $100M ARR
“At a hundred million ARR, the burn multiple falls to 0.4 X for AI native companies versus 1.6 for classic SAS companies. They're four times more efficient in adding ARR.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 7:27 The State of AI + Software: Where It’s Going - Fast
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: The Majority Of SaaS Companies Moved Customer Success Under Sales
“Churn zero did a survey gains. I did a survey. They're both on Saster. I'm sure hook would give you similar data. The majority of SAS teams have moved CS into sales, the majority.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 53:35 Top 10 Go To Market Mistakes Founders Make Again … and Again with SaaStr’s Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Majority of surveyed sales professionals secretly work multiple jobs
“I did a survey on LinkedIn a couple of months ago and asked like over 2000 sales professionals. The majority said they're working more than one job. The majority.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 18:35 Advice Every SaaS Founder Needs to Know to Scale to $100m with Sam Blond and Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Public SMB SaaS companies exclude their smallest customers from NRR reporting
“Almost all public companies that sell the SMBs, like exclude their smallest customers from NRR.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 2:11 The Most Important SaaS Metrics with Monday.com Co-Founders and SaaStr Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Palantir Flipped from 18% to 70% Software Revenue Year Before IPO
“Palantir was like 18% software until the year before their IPO, and they flipped to like 70 in one year.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 4:00 Why You're Unfundable Today: The Cold, Hard Truths About SaaS Part 2 with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Public SaaS multiples will rebound 20% to 40% by late 2023
“And so I'm pretty bullish at the end of this year. I'm bullish that multiples will be up somewhere between 20 and 40%, and I believe that will lead to a rush to deploy capital, but for founders, you have to understand that will never lead to a return of 2021.”
Jason Lemkin Feb 3, 2023 ▶ 52:34 What Venture Looks Like In 2023 | SaaStr Founder Jason Lemkin + 20VC Host Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: B2B SaaS Startups Will Avoid Widespread Layoffs Due to Cash Reserves
“I don't think there's going to be very many layoffs or issues and B to B companies because they're very well funded.”
Jason Lemkin May 6, 2022 ▶ 18:30 Doug Pepper, GP at Iconiq + Jason Lemkin of SaaStr: "Where Venture Is Right Now"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Founders should model a 50% drop in VC deals and funding
“I think for founders and other folks that are on this, I would model today, 50% decline in the number of companies that get funded and 50% decline in the dollars that go out there.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 18, 2020 ▶ 25:09 Webinar: What It Was Like in '08-'09. And We Can Learn for '20.
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Mailchimp's revenue dropped nearly 20 percent last year at Intuit
“Mailchimp's revenue fell almost 20% last year at Intuit.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 42:13 The Agents #12 - Our AI Agent Rewrote Our App Without Telling Us
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: AI SDR startups like Artisan and Clay start at $100K
“Startups like artisan and qualified and clay, they're expensive, man. They're like a hundred grand to start.”
Jason Lemkin Feb 15, 2026 ▶ 33:32 Software Stocks Have Massively Crashed. Here's What Founders Need to Know.
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Half of Venture Capital Dollars Go to Just Four Deals
“Half of all the venture capitalists here is going into four deals.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 2, 2026 ▶ 5:17 AI + B2B in 2026: Find the Tailwinds or Get Left Behind | Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Sierra grew from $1M to $100M revenue in a year
“Sierra just said they went from one to a hundred million in a year. Brett Taylor, ex, you know, ex CTO of Facebook, co-CO of Salesforce, just going out to people and saying, you can replace a lot of your support teams with AI.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 17, 2025 ▶ 13:45 AI and the Death of the 2021 Sales Playbook with SaaStr CEO and Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Contact center vendors saw 20% seat reductions in one year
“If you look at pure play contact center vendors, right, a lot of them have seen 20% seat reductions in a year due to AI. 20% across the board, right?”
Jason Lemkin Feb 28, 2025 ▶ 18:12 AI at Scale: 8 Learnings from monday.com Co-Founder and Co-Ceo Eran Zinman
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: The Current Tech IPO Bar Is $200M ARR Growing 40%
“To IPO today, you've got to be doing at least two hundred million growing at least 40%.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 5, 2024 ▶ 38:08 Top 10 Go To Market Mistakes Founders Make Again … and Again with SaaStr’s Jason Lemkin
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: Algolia, Talkdesk, Greenhouse, or SalesLoft will likely IPO in 2024
“We had a panel of Algolia, Talkdisk, Greenhouse, and I think SalesLoft, they're all at two hundred million and at least three of them, I think, will IPO next year.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 3, 2023 ▶ 17:11 2024 SaaS Landscape: Why 2024 Could be Pretty Darn Good for SaaS IPOs with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Shopify data showed the pandemic software surge ended by summer 2020
“The twenty-twenty-one buying boom didn't end until Q one or Q two of twenty-twenty-two, but that's because they're a lag. If you go back and look, for example, at Shopify data and Shopify was very public. Shopify said in the summer of twenty-twenty, this is ov…”
Jason Lemkin Jul 8, 2026 ▶ 30:32 Agents Didn't Kill Sales. They Just Exposed It with SaaStrAI CEO and Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Almost 1,000 Unicorns from 2021 May Never Go Public
“And there's almost a thousand of these unicorns from 20, 21 waiting to possibly never go public.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 2, 2026 ▶ 5:58 AI + B2B in 2026: Find the Tailwinds or Get Left Behind | Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
AI Venture Funding Hit $377B in the First Half of the Year
“Last year was three hundred and sixty three billion, which was a massive jump from 20, 23, as you can see, but already this year, It's exceeded all of last year, just in the first six months alone, three hundred and seventy seven billion in the first six month…”
Jason Lemkin Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 28:35 The State of AI + Software: Where It’s Going - Fast
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: There have only been four SaaS IPOs since 2021
“There's only been four SaaS IPOs since twenty-twenty-one since there's only been four.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 0:03 The AI Impact on Banking and Finance with CEO and Co-founder at Treasury Prime, Chris Dean
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: WebEx reached $1B ARR before Salesforce
“You know, WebEx was the first billion dollar ARR SaaS company that blew up even before Salesforce.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 10, 2024 ▶ 4:11 Fundraising from VCs and Hiring VPs in 2025: AMA with Jason Lemkin SaaStr CEO
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Nearly 70% of Shopify merchants use Klaviyo
“Klaviyo owns marketing. About almost 70% of everyone on Shopify uses Klaviyo.”
Jason Lemkin May 3, 2024 ▶ 13:37 The 3 SaaS Metrics That Matter in 2024 with SaaStr CEO and Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Public SaaS shifted to 15-20% operating margins in 18 months
“Everyone, every public company two years ago had -10, I don't know what Vimeo's was, -12 operating margins. In 18 months, they went to 15 or 20.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 15, 2024 ▶ 19:41 What It’s Like Running a Profitable $400M Public SaaS Company with Vimeo CEO Adam Gross
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin: ServiceTitan will probably be the first SaaS IPO of 2024
“I think that'll be the first SAS IPO of 20, 24.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 29, 2023 ▶ 10:28 Why the Future of Customer Success, Sales & Marketing Has Changed with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Accel Growth made just one investment in 2022
“Accel Growth did one investment last year, 30 something the year before.”
Jason Lemkin May 18, 2023 ▶ 15:21 VC AMA with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin and Black Mangroves MD Arnaud Bonzom at SaaStr APAC 2023
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Salesforce Experienced Zero Customer Churn During the 2008 Financial Crisis
“There was no churn in 2008, 2009. There was none. But there, but NRR shrunk, right? But there was no churn. There was no churn in the worst downturn of my lifetime.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 7, 2022 ▶ 31:31 SaaStr CRO Confidential: Founders Fund Partner Sam Blond + Gong VPS Jameson Yung + Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Klarna Trades Down 48% From Its IPO Price
“Klarna IPO got out. I think it's down 48% as of today from its IPO.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 2, 2026 ▶ 8:17 AI + B2B in 2026: Find the Tailwinds or Get Left Behind | Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Revenue Per Employee Up 2.6x at HubSpot Since 2021
“Since 2021, this is their efficiency ratio, their revenue per employee. HubSpot up 2.6 X, even Salesforce up 2.2 X.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 2, 2026 ▶ 53:25 AI + B2B in 2026: Find the Tailwinds or Get Left Behind | Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: HubSpot now sells more CRM than marketing software
“They now sell more CRM than marketing.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 24, 2025 ▶ 13:47 9 Things You Can Do to Grow Faster This Year with SaaStr CEO and Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Klaviyo generates 40% of its $1B revenue via agencies and partners
“Clayville gets 40% of its one billion in revenue through agencies and partners.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 25:34 From Outbound to Channel Partnerships: Your Burning Sales Questions Answered by Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Veeva Systems reached a $35B valuation raising just $3M in capital
“Peter Gassner, who is the founder of Viva, which is worth thirty-five billion. It only raised three million in primary capital.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 10, 2024 ▶ 26:58 Fundraising from VCs and Hiring VPs in 2025: AMA with Jason Lemkin SaaStr CEO
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Zoom revenue grew from $1B to $4B in a single year
“You know, we saw the biggest with Zoom, which went from one to four billion in one year.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 3, 2023 ▶ 0:59 2024 SaaS Landscape: Why 2024 Could be Pretty Darn Good for SaaS IPOs with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Samsara hit growth low in Q2 2022 and re-accelerated for four quarters
“They hit it, actually, in Q-two of twenty-twenty-two, where this high flyer's growth sort of came down to earth. They stopped accelerating growth. But what happened the last four quarters? Slow re-acceleration, right?”
Jason Lemkin Oct 3, 2023 ▶ 9:08 2024 SaaS Landscape: Why 2024 Could be Pretty Darn Good for SaaS IPOs with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Total SaaS spending is 100x larger today than in 2014
“But SAS is literally, we should do the math. It's gotta be a hundred times bigger in terms of spend, right? Just think about that's a decade of 20 to 30% annual growth compounding.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 3, 2023 ▶ 1:03 The Most Important SaaS Metrics with Monday.com Co-Founders and SaaStr Founder Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: UiPath Shifted From $400M Loss to Near Breakeven in One Year
“UiPath went from losing four hundred million in a year to being almost breakeven the next year.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 16, 2023 ▶ 11:31 Why The Era of Efficient Growth is Now: The State of the Market with SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: HubSpot's Service Hub reached $100M ARR growing at 50%
“Service hub, you've got a hundred million dollar business growing 50%, right?”
Jason Lemkin Dec 8, 2022 ▶ 51:16 Secrets to SMB at Scale with HubSpot CEO Yamini Rangan and SaaStr CEO Jason Lemkin
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Bill.com is worth around $25 billion
“Build.com was worth something like twenty-five billion dollars today, but it took a long time.”
Jason Lemkin May 29, 2024 ▶ 0:36 René Lacerte, CEO Bill + Jason Lemkin: "It's Just Getting Good for SMB SaaS"
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: David Hornik's First Investment at August Capital Was Splunk
“David Hortick from August capital. His first investment was Splunk.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 6, 2018 ▶ 2:48 SaaStr Live with Jason Lemkin: Europa Edition!
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 400 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.