why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Winning developer adoption requires core architectural integrity, not just APIs
“It's much deeper than just having APIs or just having a good website. It's cause you think about developers is they're smart. Once they get past the website and the API, they realize the core of the architecture, how it's built.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Okta halted feature development for eight months to engineer zero-downtime upgrades
“I remember we spent seven or eight months just engineering the fact that we didn't have to take it down for maintenance. And before I came from Salesforce and we had to take the service down for four hours every three months for maintenance to upgrade it. And …”
Insight
Founders should not fear discussing negative news because buyers already know
“If it's a relevant question and if it's a relevant issue, the people that it matters to are gonna know about it. Like for us, the people that look at the magic quadrant have already looked at it. They're not gonna go look at it and see our position went down a…”
Insight
Retreating to established software categories destroys the advantages of category creation
“The ironic thing is that when you're going through the tough parts of that process, the natural reaction is to try to, if that's a word, undifferentiate yourself by shifting into something else that someone else owns. Oh, we're really like, yeah, exactly. We'r…”
Insight
Incumbents like Salesforce prioritize their own products over helping startup partners
“It turns out that like a lot of companies, Salesforce is more into selling their own product than your product. So it did end up being a, it did not end up being that helpful to have that relationship, but like a lot of things, you gotta do it on your own and …”
Insight
Enduring early skepticism allows startups to eventually set the industry agenda
“The learning for me was that if you stick with your vision and you power through that, it's It feels really bad in the moment, but it's good because once it flips and once you prove that it is big enough, you by de facto own the category, right? You're the per…”
Insight
Startups must land one major bet; perfection across all is unnecessary
“If you don't get one A plus, if you don't get one big bet, you're probably gonna struggle. So that could be comforting because you'll have to get one right. Or it could be stressful because you're not sure. And then beyond that, I think you can, you do have, y…”
Disclosure
McKinnon conducted 500 executive interviews over five years and vetoed only one
“I've probably done, I don't know how many of them I've probably done in the last five years, I've probably done 500 of them. I did veto one person.”
Insight
Lemkin: VC is designed strictly for outliers, not sub-$500M exits
“Venture capital is a niche, niche, niche asset class only designed for outliers. It is, the job is to find an outlier. It is to find a GitLab. It is to find an Okta. It is to find a Stripe. It is to find an Algolia. That is the job. The job is not to find a te…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Todd McKinnon personally sold Okta's first 50 to 100 enterprise customers
“The first 50 customers, the first hundred customers, I probably at some level personally sold a lot of them, right?”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Apr 2024
Okta's position dropped slightly in Gartner's Magic Quadrant as competitors caught up
“And last year we were like way up in the leader position. And this year we came down a little bit and the other competitors got, got around us and caught us a little bit in the quadrant and it was, everyone's bummed out when that happens.”
Disclosure
Okta's business has shifted to roughly 25% customer identity
“And this was when the company was a hundred percent employee identity. Now it's about 25% customer identity.”
What-if
Okta should have focused on its developer identity product much sooner
“Getting our product that was getting our product a plus to work perfectly for the developer was something if I had to do the last 10 years over and I would have done much sooner.”
Disclosure
Okta was founded on two bets: independent scale and ubiquitous cloud
“The bet for us was that there's really two parts of it, kind of. One was that it would be a big enough problem in the future to build a large independent company because previous generation, a lot of the vendors were near sure they got picked up by bigger comp…”
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Okta achieved its highest new bookings quarter on record in Q2 2023
“Q two last quarter. Only by a smidge, mind you, only by a smidge, but they're highest quarter of new bookings on record, okay? Highest quarter of new bookings on record.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Okta's first enterprise customer only integrated Salesforce and Google
“I remember the first customer we had was, there were two apps. There was Salesforce and Google.”