Insight certainty 4/5 debate potential 2/5

David Sacks: Burn Multiple should trend from 2.0 to zero at IPO

David Sacks · What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures · Sep 13, 2023 · at 34:33

David Sacks, General Partner at Craft Ventures, discusses how startups should benchmark their Burn Multiple (Net Burn / Net New ARR) across different funding stages.

0:00 / 0:51exact quote · 51.3s
▶ Watch the full episode on YouTube → 720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“Your burn multiple, which is just your burn divided by your net new ARR, it should be going down. And obviously, by the time... That's the point, it should be going down, and so, like, if you're a late stage company, you're like a growth stage company, like, your burn multiple should probably be one or even less, meaning, let's say you add twenty million of ARR, net new ARR in a year, you shouldn't probably be burning more than twenty million dollars. Like, you know, and then by the time you get to be public, obviously, you, ideally you'd be profitable or cash flow positive, in which case your burn is zero, And hopefully your net new AR is a big number, so, zero over, you know, a big number, it's zero. So, your burn multiple should be trending down towards zero over time. It can start at the seed round at a high place by series A, you know, it's okay to probably be at two-ish, you know, growth round one-ish, public company zero.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from David Sacks

Prediction Held up
David Sacks: Seed-stage startup mortality rate will reach roughly 80%
“Well, I would say that the mortality rate on seed right now is very high. You know, I think it's probably going to be like, 80%.”
David Sacks Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 9:35 What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures
Opinion
David Sacks: Series A and B are currently better investments than seed
“So I, I'm no longer convinced that seed is particularly like a bargain in terms of that part of the market. In fact, I think probably Series A or Series B is a better place to invest.”
David Sacks Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 10:24 What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures
Insight
David Sacks: Startups must cap their Burn Multiple at 2.0 during downturns
“Do not let your burn multiple go above two, because We're going into a tough period. It's more likely that you're gonna miss than exceed, and if you miss, your burn multiple's gonna, like, go off the charts. It's gonna be even worse than you're planning, right…”
David Sacks Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 37:20 What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures
Insight
Sacks: Always hire proven sales experts over domain experts
“They always make the mistake of choosing the domain expert. I would say you should almost always choose the sales expert. A good salesperson, a good AE will learn your product, will learn your market. That's what they've done their whole careers. Trying to tea…”
David Sacks Oct 29, 2021 ▶ 10:23 The SaaS Org Chart by Series with David Sacks, Co-founder and General Partner at Craft Ventures
Prediction Not checkable as stated
David Sacks: Big tech will own AI infrastructure; startups are M&A targets
“Ultimately, my view is that infrastructure can be owned by the big tech companies, and Those mainly are plays for a good M&A exit.”
David Sacks Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 2:59 What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures
Insight
David Sacks: Repricing to fix negative gross margins risks losing product-market fit
“It's like one of the worst things you can ever discover, is that your late stage business, which is growing really fast, is actually negative gross margin. Because what that means is, you've been selling dollars for 90 cents, and so now you have to question, i…”
David Sacks Sep 13, 2023 ▶ 17:27 What the Future of SaaS Holds with David Sacks, Founder & General Partner, Craft Ventures
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 400 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.