why aren't all 27 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Market Adoption Dictates Startup Destiny Far More Than Internal Execution
“The reality is that I believe now more than ever, having been a part of helping to build this company, I believe that At the end of the day, the one thing that's out of your control controls more of your destiny than anything in your control, which is the mark…”
Insight
Andrew Rubin: The Difference Between Being Early and Too Early is Bankruptcy
“The difference between being very, very, very, very early in something and being too early in something T O O of course, it's really only one word. And the word is actually not time. It's bankruptcy.”
Insight
Founders Should Over-Raise Capital as Insurance Rather Than Optimize for Dilution
“Over raise. Cash is literally the single most important insurance policy that every single startup has years before they're profitable and capable of standing on their own two feet. There's no amount of optimizing for dilution that will ever convince me that r…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Illumio and Microsoft See Graph Architecture as Cybersecurity's Future
“Now, literally everybody from Illumio all the way to Microsoft talks about the future of security is really being based on a graph.”
Insight
Cybersecurity Has Shifted From Total Prevention to Breach Containment
“We live in a post breach world. Every organization either has been breached or they're terrified they're next on the list. And they rightfully should be because this is no longer an anomaly. It's not if, it's when. If the biggest companies in the world and the…”
Insight
Disrupting Incumbents Reaches Product-Market Fit Faster Than Category Creation
“What I'm saying is that the journey for product market fit and go to market fit is a lot easier because the infrastructure has already been laid down.”
Assertion Supported
Illumio Reached 500 Employees Before Gartner Formally Recognized Its Market
“Gartner didn't write a report with the word in it until two years ago. And we had already become a company of over 500 people.”
Insight
Rubin: Category Creation Requires Evangelizing the Problem, Not the Product
“When you are going out into a market that doesn't exist, you are literally evangelizing. Not you. You're evangelizing the problem. You're educating on why the customer even needs to think about, let alone care. Then when they agree that maybe it is a problem t…”
Opinion
Rubin: Illumio operated without a market for most of its history
“We've been doing this without a market for most of our life. And now I very much believe there is a market.”
Assertion Supported
Illumio Raised $40M With Under 20 Employees and $100M Pre-Revenue
“We raised in the first six, seven months of the company's life over forty million dollars. The team hadn't hit 20 people and we already had 40 plus million dollars in fundraising. And basically, the month we started generating revenue two years later, we raise…”
Insight
Rubin: Conviction based solely on belief leads to wasted startup capital
“I don't think that walking around with conviction that's based on nothing other than belief is a good strategy because you can throw a lot of good effort and a lot of good money after Bad if you walk through your sort of decision making that way.”
Opinion
Rubin: Illumio could never have raised early funding from generic VCs
“We were never going to, in my opinion, we were never going to raise the capital for something this hard and this new from what I'll refer to as a generic VC.”
Insight
Pitching Generalist VCs is Useless for Technical Startups Without Domain Alignment
“Sometimes pitching a hundred is actually no better than pitching eight. If it turns out that there's only three that really are going to get your pitch, the other 97, it's going to make no difference at all.”
Assertion Supported
Illumio Has Never Conducted an Economic Layoff in Its Entire History
“One thing that I'm incredibly, incredibly proud of is that I can say that I'm working on a team For a company that literally has never done an economic driven layoff. We've never done a riff in the life of the company.”
Insight
Rubin: Headcount is the only software expense large enough to move the needle
“Almost all the money that a software company spends is in people. It's the only expense big enough that you can move the needle.”
Disclosure
Rubin: Illumio's early contracts were mostly seven-figure enterprise deals
“Our first customers were some of the biggest banks in the world. And fortunately they believed in us and the problem we were trying to solve enough that we didn't do a lot of 50 or a 100,000 dollar deals in the beginning. Quite frankly, most of our deals were …”
Insight
Startups Cannot Successfully Go Public Selling Only to Fortune 100 Companies
“You can't be a public company, or I should say, it's almost impossible to be a public company only selling to the Fortune 100.”
Insight
Rubin: Go-to-market fit is as essential as product-market fit
“Everybody talks about PMF and rightfully so. I can't have a company if you don't have a product that fits a market. But the other version of that statement, which is equally true and equally important is you have to have go-to-market fit. You have to understan…”
Insight
Rubin: Product-market fit is not a finished state but an evolving journey
“I don't think that you have true product market fit and then you're done. I think you have moments in time where you figure things out that now make it feel like it's closer than it's ever been.”
Assertion Supported
Rubin: Firewalls remain one of the largest cybersecurity spending categories
“The device is called the firewall. It's literally. 30 or 40 years into its life. Still one of the biggest categories in TAMs in cybersecurity spend on the planet.”
Insight
Rubin: Security policy has shifted from IP addresses to human-readable tags
“And the world was moving away from that, not from those addresses, but from writing your policy and describing how you wanted your environment to live and how you wanted to protect it. People were moving into the same thing that they do in cloud, which is you …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen Horowitz Seeded Illumio With $8M After Dozens of VC Rejections
“You know, we raised eight million dollars to start the company. Andreessen Horowitz took the bet on us that literally, and I am not exaggerating, I can't say hundreds, plural. I can absolutely say many, many, many dozens of venture capitalists, including just …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen Horowitz Issued an $8M Term Sheet After One One-Hour Meeting
“I had one meeting with the partner. It lasted for less than an hour, and two weeks later, they had signed the term sheet to give us eight million dollars to start the company.”
Opinion
Andreessen Horowitz's Executive Briefing Center Provided Indispensable Early Value
“Again, a huge shout out to Andreessen Horowitz from the very, very beginning because they had built this model that now so many of the VCs have rightfully copied. But this executive briefing center, what they called their ABC and what Andreessen, you know, did…”
Insight
Rubin: Startup founders are never as right or doomed as they feel
“And actually another one of my mentors said to me on, on the really good days, you're going to think you have it all figured out. And on the really, really bad days, you're going to think it's the end of the world. And I promise you, neither one of them are ev…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Illumio was founded because legacy firewalls did not work in the cloud
“I was describing the problems I heard customers talking about when they tried to take their firewall and plug it in in public cloud, and it just didn't make sense or work.
And that was the genesis of the conversation that became Illumio.”
Disclosure
Andrew Rubin Spent 50% of Stealth Mode Meeting Prospective Enterprise Clients
“I had probably spent over those two years 50% of my time in front of prospects. I can't call them customers because none of them were paying us yet, but let's call them prospects.”