The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hsu: High-throughput token generation will dominate biology over mechanistic research
“The vast majority of, you know, mechanistic data that's been generated to date is really made to ask very specific, very well scoped questions and just, you know, way more tokens per experiment is, you know, just, it's just going to be the way to do it.”
Hsu: Scientific research and creativity fundamentally involve hallucination
“People criticize these models for hallucinating, but if you think about it, the process of scientific research just involves hallucination, right? That's what creativity is.”
Hsu: Biological scaling laws hold across proteins, DNA, and inference compute
“We've, we're seeing evidence of scaling laws in biology across proteins, right? That's been shown in the protein language models across DNA, which is what we've shown in our EVO series of models from ARC. We're also seeing inference time scaling laws which in,…”
Hsu: All dry lab workflows will be automated by AI agents
“I think it's very clear now that basically all dry lab workflows are going to get automated with agents or with co-pilots”
Hsu: The optimal biotech model is between fully virtual and vertically integrated
“Previously the virtual biotech was a concept that was very much in fashion, right? Folks found out just In reality, when you try to do this, even though it looks really good on paper, it's incredibly slow, right? So then folks tried the other way, which is let…”