The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Brown: Modern AI models can reason for weeks before plateauing
“What we're seeing today with the modern models is that 5.5 and other models can think for, if you scaffold them reasonably well, can think for weeks even before having performance plateau on some of these benchmarks.”
Patel: OpenAI o1 and o3 share basic architecture with GPT-4o
“For a long time, OpenAI was charging more per token for the reasoning model, right, O-one and O-three than they were for GPT-Four-O, even though the architecture is, like, basically the same. It's just the weights are different.”
Training OpenAI base models on code improved chain-of-thought reasoning
“So they had wanted to see what introducing code into their into their base models would do. I think it had positive effects on chain of thought reasoning.”
Khan: Bill Gates challenged OpenAI to build an AI passing AP Biology
“It turns out that Bill Gates, when he saw GPT-III, he's like, oh, this is cool. But we all know GPT-III really didn't have a good handle on knowledge, and he told the OpenAI team, he's like, I'll be impressed if this could pass the AP Biology exam. He literall…”