Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sal Khan: Diamond Age AI tutors will be reality in 3-5 years
“そして、私は次の三年から五年以内に、ニル・スティブンソンが、 千九百九十四年に書いたことが、ほぼ全て現実になると思います。”
Prediction Held up
Sal Khan predicts most teachers will use AI for grading by 2024
“五年後にはほとんどの教師が生成案を使って授業計画、採点、進行状況報告、評価基準作成を行うのは安全だと思います。小さい、すでに来年の後半にそれが実現する可能性があります。”
Opinion
Sal Khan: Expensive mid-tier colleges face severe trouble over student debt
“低コストで迅速に変化に適応できるコミュニティカテージは、実際には大丈夫だと思います。特に、年間六万ドルから七万ドル料費や食費を含むの費用を請求し、多くの子どもたち、借金を抱えて卒業する大学の大半については非常に困難です。”
Insight
Sal Khan: Students lacking foundational knowledge will be left behind by AI
“情報と概念を指先で使いこなせれば、これらのツルハダレよりもあなたを加速させるでしょう。逆に、サンバイナーナーの計算をするために電卓を使ったり、第二次世界対戦外走行とかを調べるためにググルに行かなければいけない子供は、世界に取り残されてしまうでしょう。”
Opinion
Khan: Failing to teach automatic arithmetic fluency is educational malpractice
“This is on some level malpractice that no one sat down with this kid for like an evening and said, you have got like, it has to be automatic. It's gotta be in milliseconds that you know what three times seven is. Cause he understood all the concepts of exponen…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khan: AI tutors will provide students' best college recommendations within a decade
“I could imagine in five or 10 years, you're gonna get your best college recommendation from Conmigo.”
Assertion Supported
Khan: Khan World School students are learning three to four times faster
“At Khan World School, actually, we just documented, we were almost embarrassed to say the results. You know, Steve Levitt of Freakonomics fame, he actually looked at it himself because he was like, this, is this real? And he's like, oh, it's real. I mean, thes…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Khan: Almost all teachers will use generative AI within five years
“I think it will be safe to say that in five years, almost all teachers will be using generative AI for lesson planning, grading, Progress reports, rubric creation.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khan: Generative AI will not dramatically alter structural challenges facing universities
“I think, I don't think generative AI dramatically changes what was already going to happen to universities.”
Insight
Khan: AI forces workers into managerial roles requiring deeper foundational skills
“So now every coder is not going to have an army of coding assistants. Every writer has a writing assistant. So people are gonna have to move, Into the managerial ranks quite quickly and figure out, okay, instead of being a coder, I'm now an architect. Instead …”
Insight
Khan: Internalized knowledge and mathematical fluency matter more in the AI era
“The more that you have rapid access to knowledge in your head, the more that you are fluent with your mathematics, that you have information and concepts at the tip of your fingers, these tools will accelerate you more than anyone else. And the kid that has to…”
Prediction Held up
Khan: Students will video conference with AI tutors within five years
“And then I think in three to five years, yeah, you're going to be able to video conference with your tutor, which then makes it like a real thing that you can have a long journey with.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Khan: Elite universities will survive regardless of ROI as social clubs
“I think you're going to have a world where the very elite universities People join those. Yes. It's almost like you're joining a cast. You're joining a club. So I think they're going to be fine. I think that, you know, whether or not they can justify the ROI, …”
Insight
Sal Khan: Academic struggle is not a lack of cognitive ability
“私と同じ授業で赤点を問うている同級生たちは、私よりもチェスが上手だったり、ビデオゲームやパズルを解いたりするのが得意だったりする。だから純粋に認知能力の問題ではないと思う”
Disclosure
Sal Khan: Khan Academy secretly partnered with OpenAI long before ChatGPT
“一年前にオープニット提携を始めました大きな話題となる前から長い間秘密にしていましたが”
Disclosure
Khan Academy logs minor students' AI interactions for parents and teachers
“私たちは十八歳未満の学生の場合AIとのすべてのやり取りを広くし保護者や教師がアクセスできるようにすると言いました”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Khan: Lab School students advance two grade levels yearly without generative AI
“And at Khan Lab School, we've consistently seen it, you know, at least 1.5 to two grade levels in a year. And this is before, before generative AI.”
Assertion Supported
Khan: OpenAI approached Khan Academy before finishing GPT-4's first training run
“They hadn't even finished the first training run of GPT-IV, but they said, you know, we think it's going to be done in about two weeks, and we think This is going to be the model that really wakes up people to the power of generative AI. We want two reasons wh…”
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Aug 2023
Khan: Bill Gates challenged OpenAI to build an AI passing AP Biology
“It turns out that Bill Gates, when he saw GPT-III, he's like, oh, this is cool. But we all know GPT-III really didn't have a good handle on knowledge, and he told the OpenAI team, he's like, I'll be impressed if this could pass the AP Biology exam. He literall…”
Disclosure
Khan Academy logs all AI interactions for parents of minor students
“We're going to record every interaction with the AI and make it accessible to parents and teachers if the student is under 18.”
Assertion Supported
Khan: OpenAI does not use Khanmigo student interactions for model training
“None of the interactions, and this is to credit to open AI, none of the interactions are being used to train the AI.”
Disclosure
Khan Academy is building employer-recognized competency credentials for job qualifications
“And so we are working and I know others are working to create competency signals, credentials, that if you do it, employers will recognize it.”
Insight
Sal Khan: Math struggles stem primarily from foundational knowledge gaps
“私のいとこたちに共通の課題があることに気づいたんだ彼らが苦労している主な理由は知識の抜け落ちがあったからなんだしばしばその台数の方程式に苦労している理由は超数点の割り算や負けの数、指数に慣れていないからだったんだ”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Sal Khan: Sidwell Friends was first school using Khan Academy in 2007
“有名な話としては、トゥータズンセブン年に最初にKana Academyを利用したのは、シドウェル・フレンズ校でした。これは、DCリレイミリエリトナ学校でありジョーウィン議員や大統領の子供たちが通っていますしかし実際には五年生の教室でジョン・モールウェイの先生が最初に使っていました彼は私が作成していた自家製のソフトウェアを利用していました”
Sal Khan