why aren't all 55 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Kevin Scott: OpenAI Was the Highest-Ambition AI Partner Available
“And when we looked around, like OpenAI was clearly the highest ambition partner that was in the field, you know, and I think still their ambition is just breathtaking in what it is that they're trying to accomplish.”
Insight
Scott: No single company can build all useful AI platform tools
“We'll build some of this stuff and like the community is going to build a tremendous amount of it because like there's never been a platform or ecosystem where one company builds all of the useful things. Like that's just nonsense. Like it's just never happene…”
Disclosure
Nadella: Microsoft-OpenAI partnership began around scaling compute on transformers
“Obviously I got into all this when I got excited by the scaling laws paper and, you know, when, You know, even the OpenAI partnership came about when those folks said, hey, we're going to really throw a lot of computer transformers and they've helped, right?”
Assertion Supported
Dohmke: Copilot reached 77,000 organizations and 1.8M paid users
“I think the last number we shared was a few quarters ago, 77,000 organizations using Copilot and back then the number of paid users was 1.8 million paid users.”
Assertion Supported
Gil: Microsoft's blocked Intuit buyout preceded Intuit reaching $178B market cap
“If you look historically in the nineties, Microsoft tried to buy into it for, I think it was a billion or one and a half billion dollars.
And that got blocked from a regulatory perspective.
And now into it's a hundred and seventy eight billion dollar company…”
Assertion Supported
Scott: Microsoft built the AI supercomputer that trained GPT-3 in 2019
“So we built our, the first thing that we called an AI supercomputer. I think we started working on it in 2019 and we deployed it at the end of that year. And it was the computing environment that GPT three was trained on”
Assertion Supported
Halligan: Groove Networks reached $20M revenue before Microsoft acquisition
“We got the twenty million in revenue, and Microsoft bought it, and it's like a little part of SharePoint now.”