The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
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Dohmke: Copilot yields 25-28% end-to-end developer productivity gains
“And then we're talking about, you know, 25, 28% productivity gains on, on the end to end 55% or higher on, on the coding task.”
Dohmke: Copilot will resolve GitHub issues via draft PRs in 2025
“But we think, you know in 20, 25, we get into a place where you can assign a GitHub issue, a well-defined GitHub issue to a co-pilot and then it starts creating a draft pull request and it outlines the plan and then it works through its plan and you can, simil…”
Guo: Microsoft Copilot Revenue Still Far Below Company's Expectations
“Despite all of the, you know, initial real traction around Copilot in the code domain I think we're still far short of what revenue Microsoft actually expects to drive in terms of across its productivity suite and in search, and they're ambitious to go after t…”
Scott: Microsoft Copilots use a portfolio of AI models
“If you look at things like Bing chat or Microsoft three 65 copilot or GitHub copilot, you end up using a portfolio of models to do the work and like you use it for performance and cost optimization reasons, and you use it for you know, just sort of precision a…”
Graveley: Copilot writes 80% of code for top power users
“There's some whales out there. Like there's people who it writes 80% of their code.”
Graveley: Programmers think in blocks, making block autocomplete optimal
“The key insight was realizing that programmers kind of think in blocks. So if you can just autocomplete the rest of the current block, Then that's what people want. People can, they're kind of like judging what this block is going to do, and if it does the rig…”
Graveley: Every 10ms of latency drops Copilot completions by 1%
“Every 10 milliseconds is one percent fewer completions that people would do.”
Guo: GitHub Copilot operates by inspecting only five recent files
“Today, you know, you have Copilot looking at your five open files, your five most recent files and doing Function completion. And like that already has such a massive impact on productivity, but I think we're really early in figuring out how to deliver more co…”
Graveley: GitHub Copilot's in-the-wild test pass rate rose from under 10% to over 60%
“And eventually, you know, it went from, you know, less than 10% on in the wild test to over 60%. So that's like one in two tests it can just generate code for.”
Graveley: GitHub Copilot weekly cohort retention stayed above 50%
“Our retention rate was 50%. Like, it never went, like, months later, it was still above 50% by, like, weekly cohort, which is, like, insane.”