why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Ng: Every AI Fund Employee Knows How to Code
“Everyone in my team at AI Fund knows how to code. Everyone is a good hub account, and I see for a lot of my team members, you know, when my, I don't know assistant general counsel, or my CFO, or my front desk operator, when they learn how to code, they're not …”
Opinion
Dohmke: Software teams will always require human review before production merges
“And while we don't believe that goes away from a pure security and trust perspective, you always want to have, you know, Another human in the loop before you merge code into production.”
Prediction Held up
Dohmke: Copilot will resolve GitHub issues via draft PRs in 2025
“But we think, you know in 20, 25, we get into a place where you can assign a GitHub issue, a well-defined GitHub issue to a co-pilot and then it starts creating a draft pull request and it outlines the plan and then it works through its plan and you can, simil…”
Opinion
GitHub probably sold to Microsoft too early, argues Delangue
“So when you talk about, you know, money in GitHub for me, like the, if there was a mistake, it's probably to have sold it too, too early to Microsoft.”
Opinion
Lloyd: GitHub Is Not Executing Well on AI Coding Front Door
“The other front door, which. I feel like honestly they're not executing that great is GitHub where all the source code lives.”
Disclosure
Mann: Anthropic built Claude Code because partner feedback was too slow
“So we love our partners like cursor and GitHub who have been using our models quite heavily, but the amount and the speed that we learn is much less if we don't have a direct relationship with our coding users. So launching cloud code was really essential for …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dohmke: AI dev tools will remain a multi-vendor ecosystem
“In AI, I think we're going to see the same thing. We're going to see a stack or universe of companies that offer different parts of the software development life cycle, and developers pick the one that you know, they like the most, that they have experience wi…”
Insight
GitHub and Salesforce cannot evaluate performance because they lack core HR data
“GitHub can't do this because GitHub doesn't know who you've promoted. They don't know who did well. They don't know who you've had to let go of for performance reasons. Salesforce doesn't know that either. And so, like, I'm sure there's gonna be really cool, l…”
Insight
Masad: Replit's Moat Is Unifying the Entire Code-to-Deployment Feedback Loop
“The real advantage is the end-to-end journey from the first line of code to the deployment, to getting crashes in production, to making edits, to all of that feedback cycle, which typically in most cases is divided between GitHub and VS Code and AWS and all of…”
Insight
Developer platforms like Hugging Face become gateways for compute and infrastructure
“When you get so much usage, so much network effects, and you actually like for a lot of these projects, you are like the starting point. Of projects like the same way. I think probably companies are starting on GitHub to see the open source projects before sta…”
Disclosure
Fulford: Deep Research next steps include accessing internal documentation and GitHub
“As to deep research, I think obvious next steps for deep research would also be to have access to private data, like be able to do research over, you know, any internal documentation or GitHub, whatever it is.”
Insight
Foody: Hiring managers under-index on engineers' public online artifacts
“One of the really interesting things for engineering is that there's so much signal about a lot of the best engineers online that I don't think people properly tap into, right? It's everything ranging from their GitHub's to the personal projects on their websi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dohmke: Developers spend only 2-3 hours daily writing code
“But if you actually look in the developer life the day to day, you know, in, in, in most companies that's maybe two or three hours of your day that you're actually writing code. And then you're spending an equal amount of time of reviewing code of your coworke…”
Insight
Dohmke: AI roadmaps cannot be planned more than two months ahead
“Like the market is moving so fast. We're literally sitting on an exponential curve of innovation where it's hard to keep up and you can't really plan more than a month or two ahead of time.”
Assertion Contradicted
Stability AI Repositories Beat Ethereum and Bitcoin Combined in GitHub Stars
“You know, on GitHub stars, we've overtaken Ethereum and Bitcoin cumulatively. It took them 10 years. We got there in like three, four months.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Dohmke: Non-coding GitHub PM used AI agent to merge real pull request
“We actually, you know, when we recorded the demo for the Padawan project we actually had one of our product managers use an issue and the agent create the progress themselves. Right. A PM that usually doesn't code and doesn't write code in the code base was ab…”
Disclosure
Dohmke: GitHub manages all internal functions in GitHub repositories
“Everything that, that we do in the company, including, you know, the, our legal terms and our HR policies and Or product management, sales sales enablement, all these functions are in GitHub issues and GitHub discussions and GitHub repos.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub initially considered building a Stack Overflow competitor using OpenAI models
“And at the time they were thinking in terms of like, maybe you can replace Stack Overflow or something, you know, do a Stack Overflow competitor.”