superintelligence

also referred to as: super intelligence

6 statements across 4 episodes · 2 bullish · 2 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Apr 10, 2025 by Brendan Foody · across every show →

Everything said about superintelligence, oldest first

Apr 10, 2025 neutral
Insight
Foody: Superintelligence cannot be recognized without comprehensive human evals
“You don't even know that you have super intelligence without having evals for everything. Cause it's like, you sort of need to understand what is the human baseline and like, what is good? It's like grounded in this like understanding of human behavior.”
Brendan Foody Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 20:09 No Priors Ep. 110 | With Mercor CEO and Co-Founder Brendan Foody
Jun 12, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ben Mann: General superintelligence by 2028 is 'quite possible'
“I think it's quite possible. I think it's very hard to put confident bounds on, on the numbers, but”
Ben Mann Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 14:52 No Priors Ep. 118 | With Anthropic Co-Founder Ben Mann
Jul 17, 2025
Insight
Laskin: Accurately verifying arbitrary outcomes is ASI-complete
“The reward problem in itself is at the time I called, I thought it was AGI complete. Now I'd say it's ASI complete, but by the time you have a neural network that can accurately verify any outcome, that is probably a super intelligence.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 35:52 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Jul 17, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laskin: Deploying superintelligence and reaching 10% GDP growth is multi-decade
“Actually going in and deploying it and building it for, you know, specific categories of work. There are going to be a lot of product and kind of research innovation specific to those categories that will probably make this a multi-decade thing. So I don't thi…”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 58:35 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Jul 17, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Laskin: Definitive superintelligence in meaningful categories will arrive in a couple years
“I think that where I think we'll be in a couple of years from now is that there'll be kind of definitive super intelligence in, Some meaningful categories of work.”
Misha Laskin Jul 17, 2025 ▶ 38:38 No Priors Ep. 123 | With ReflectionAI Co-Founder and CEO Misha Laskin
Jun 10, 2026 negative
Opinion
Zuckerberg: A Centralized Superintelligence Will Not Solve Science
“Our vision is not that there's going to be like some central super intelligence that solves all of science.”
Mark Zuckerberg Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 39:36 “Curing All Disease by next century is too conservative" - Mark Zuckerberg
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