why aren't all 2,620 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 7 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Jindal: ClickHouse acquired 13-person startup Langfuse for close to $1 billion
“You know, one of our comparator Lang Fuse this company out of Germany, I think they had, like, 13 employees, and they recently got bought by ClickHouse, and I mean, they did not disclose the number, but we believe, like, it's close to a billion dollar acquisit…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ahluwalia: Apparel firm cut support staff from 16 to 3 using SagePilot
“One of the customers of Sage Pilot, like the 50 crore revenue company based in Jaipur they do clothes clothing, right?
Women's clothing.
And they mentioned that
They have reduced their team of 16 people in customer support and customer lifecycle to three pe…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agarwal: Claims that 80% of code is AI-written are accurate
“There are so many companies coming out and saying, 80% of all of my code base today is written by AI, and that is truth, and that's what we're seeing everywhere as well.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agarwal: Enterprise software budgets have stalled entirely outside of AI initiatives
“Like if you're going and asking for a 100,000 budget or a 500,000 budget, except AI, there is no spend happening in any other software category.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rajagopal claims 70% of Indian quick commerce revenue comes from unhealthy products
“For them, 60 to 70% of the business are coming from products which have these ingredients.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kamath: Cartesia is the only other player focused on real-time voice
“Right now, the only other player who's focused on real time is Cartesia.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kamath: Nvidia GPUs suffer severe memory bottlenecks during voice inference
“And media chips are generally very bad for voice inference. Like if you have 40 gigabytes of RAM in a NVIDIA GPU, you can generally, if you want to do real time, like a hundred milliseconds, you can use maybe two or four gigabytes of it for our models. And bey…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Padval: $500M ARR in AI coding requires billions in compute costs
“What I heard is the five hundred million of ARR needs about six hundred million of investment from the LLM company they have to pay, which also requires hosting costs from Amazon and the hyperscalers of seven hundred million, and that needs chips worth eight h…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
MacInnis: Rippling Had No P&L Statement Until $4.5M in Revenue
“When I joined Rippling, we were at something like four and a half million bucks in revenue, which by itself is a very exciting number, I think, going from zero to something. But in hindsight, obviously, it was very, very early in the company's business, in the…”
Assertion Partly supported
Rekhi: Excelan hired HP exec as CEO for Wall Street IPO optics
“Board is telling me that, yeah, we are going to have to put a CEO here who looked like a wall street. Yeah. Acceptable CEO. Yeah. This is like a star from the central casting. So we hired, you know, this guy from HP as it was general manager of a division and …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dash: Ambient AI medical scribing accuracy is approaching 100%
“Now a doctor says, hey, Siddharth, would you mind if I record this conversation? Those conversations now have an accuracy rate that's getting close to a hundred percent.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shivakumar: 90% of Indian brands fail due to excessive promotions
“90% of the brands in India have gone down the tube because of excessive promotions.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajaria: 6sense Is the Only Survivor From Forrester's Predictive Scoring Wave
“So there's a Forrester way for this. You can see B to B predictive lead scoring. It's called, I think B to B predictive lead scoring. You can see it like a lot of logos on it. Sixth Sense is the only company that still exists.”
Assertion Supported
Dübendorfer: Switzerland has produced 58 unicorns in the last 12 years
“Unicorns, the companies that had a billion dollar valuation or more in the last 12 years, we found 58 of them, where we have a public proof that they reached a one billion valuation.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dodda: MoEngage added more Indian net new business than competitors
“Over the last two, three years, I think we added, we had much more net new business in India than any other player out there.”
Assertion Supported
Kumar: 90% of e-Shram registered workers earn under 10,000 rupees monthly
“So, 90% of those who are registered, they are saying that we are earning less than 10,000 rupees per month, right?”
Assertion Supported
Kumar: India's record forex reserves are dangerously built on debt, not trade
“Next, you said that the debt, the India's foreign exchange reserves are at a high, but that is built on capital flows. That is not built on our trade and current account surpluses. So that means it's built on debt.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kumar: India's free trade agreements widen its trade deficit
“Now, whenever we have gone in for free trade agreements, you know, say like with South Korea, with the Southeast Asian countries, Australia, we've lost out. Because they have been able to increase, use that free trade agreement to send their exports. We are no…”
Assertion Supported
Kumar: India's public sector never exceeded 27% of GDP at peak
“So in India, even at its peak, the public sector is not contributing more than 27% of the GDP. 73% was all private sector. So India has been a capitalist country all through, but with a welfare component, you know.”
Assertion Supported
Prof. Arun Kumar: India's tax-to-GDP ratio is among the world's lowest at 17%
“So our tax GDP ratio is one of the lowest in the world at 17%. Our direct tax GDP ratio is also one of the lowest in the world at about six and a half percent.”
Assertion Supported
Prof. Arun Kumar: Indian states receive only 30-35% of central taxes despite 41% mandate
“And of that, 41% is supposed to go to the states as per the finance commission and so on, right? But the way the center collects the CES and the other things, only 30% is going to the, or 35% is going to the states, right?”
Assertion Partly supported
Kumar: India's Organized Sector Employment Share Has Stagnated at 6% Since 1990
“So, we had six percent in the organized sector in 1996% today. That means in spite of massive investment in the organized sector, no additional percentage has gone into that area.”
Assertion Supported
Indian businesses face 6,000 regulations that carry criminal penalties, per ORF study
“There is a study, Siddharth, that came out, which I want you and your viewers to read. It's called Jailed for Doing Business. It was done by ORF, Observer Research Foundation in Delhi. Look at the 6000 regulations that companies have to face, and some of them …”
Assertion Supported
Garg: Open-source models trail proprietary SOTA models by only 6-12 months
“I also think that open source has demonstrated that while it can't compete with the SOTA models, it's only six to 12 months away.”
Assertion Supported
Makhija: Unicommerce is the only profitable player among its top five rivals
“Although in our ecosystem, we are the only profitable player as of now amongst the top five players”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sikri: Slow, cautious global de-dollarization is currently underway
“There's a slow de-dollarization which is underway. Very cautious, very careful because nobody wants to get on the wrong side of America. But like India or China or Russia or other countries are trading in their national currencies”
Assertion Supported
Sikri: US blockage of WTO tribunal eliminated appellate dispute resolution
“For example, the Americans held up the appellate tribunal of the WTO. So now there is no appellate tribunal to which any country can go in case they have a problem.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sikri: US tariffs make electronics cheaper in India than the US
“Now it's amazing that today there are many products, say, electronic products or cameras and stuff like that, which are cheaper in India than in the USA because of the tariffs.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sikri: Operation Sindhu revealed open Chinese military involvement in Pakistan
“One of the things that has emerged very clearly after Operation Sindhu, Is the open Chinese involvement in in Pakistan's military and offensive and defensive capabilities.”
Assertion Supported
Sikri: China is recalling technicians working on iPhone production in India
“They're calling back their engineers, technicians who are working on iPhone production because India is emerging as an iPhone thing.”
Assertion Supported
Sikri: India withheld SCO defense endorsement over Pahalgam terror attack omission
“We did not endorse the Iran, their statement on Iran being attacked by Israel because they did not endorse Pahlgahm. And we did not sign on to the SCO defense minister because Pahlkam was not mentioned.”
Assertion Contradicted
Atluri: Cost-plus contracts led Lockheed and Boeing to launch almost no rockets
“Lockheed and Boeing had a cost plus contract model. And how many rockets flew? Almost no, almost none flew from them. Because if the moment you rocket start flying, the project has to be closed down.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Atluri: India is number one globally in army simulation technology
“In anti, army simulators, we are number one. Absolutely. There's no doubt about that.”
Assertion Partly supported
Atluri: Parrikar Lifted Tatra Ban to Fix 70% Grounded Military Trucks
“The Tatra trucks, there was one truck, ah, that was being used because they were blacklisted by the, ah, AK Anthony, the defense minister, ah, ah, preceding the, this government. And so he said, because there were some allegations of corruption by that company…”
Assertion Supported
Sanyal: Regulatory bodies ban corporate branding, preventing an Indian KPMG
“Our professional bodies explicitly ban branding. So I cannot create a KPMG.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sanyal: India's fertility rate has fallen to 1.9, well below replacement
“Our required fertility rate is 2.4. And we are already at 1.9 and falling.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sanyal: No country has ever recovered from sub-replacement fertility rates
“No country in the world has once their fertility rate has fallen below replacement has been able to push it back up.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sanyal: Indian industry bodies lobby to protect incumbents, not for reform
“Let me say that the bulk of the reforms that I have done have been basically not because the industry bodies of that sector were pushing for those reforms, and that shouldn't be surprising because in most cases the industry body actually is reflects the incumb…”
Assertion Supported
Rajeev: Kerala's FDI grew 100% in a single year, rising to ninth
“If you're taking FTA, the growth rate of FTA in the state of Kerala is hundred percent within a year. And the position of Kerala is jumped to ninth.”
Assertion Partly supported
Rajeev: Kerala is the first state globally to make internet a basic right
“First time in the world, Kerala is a state which you have recognized internet right is a basic right of the citizen. Not only on paper, we are providing high-speed connectivity, K-Phone. It's a government-owned mechanism for laying optical fiber cable network,…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Manickam: Asian fab engineers work seven days weekly unlike US workforce
“A Korean engineer or a Taiwanese engineer, you know, will work seven days a week, right? To get the process done and so on, right? Whereas in the US, you know there is you know, much more restrictions on labor and stuff like that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: India is definitively benefiting from institutional LP flight from China
“And then by the end of 24, I think it became clear to people or many people took the call that they don't have the patience to stay or think about more investing in China or stay invested in China so that now India is seeing a benefit. Definitely it's seeing a…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bajaj: Top five Indian VC firms easily beat public market equivalents
“So far, actually, interestingly, on IRR and multiple, we very easily beat it. All of us, the top five, you said, you know, the five firms or whatever, everybody beats it.”
Assertion Contradicted
Bajaj: 90% of global semiconductor chip design goes through India
“If you look at semiconductors, 90%, I don't know if you know this statistic, 90% of chip design goes through India, including the Chinese trips.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharma: No meaningful foreign country has adopted UPI domestically
“There is literally, literally no meaningful country which has adopted UPI as a domestic payment system. Within their country.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sharma: Facebook Used Indian Policy To Defend US Net Neutrality
“And the same Facebook, which had insisted on removing net neutrality here was now defending net neutrality here using the three page policy that we had created to basically preserve our net neutrality.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharma: SEBI Mutual Fund Rules Drove India's Retail Stock Market Boom
“And the fact that stock market is popped up is because lots of new money is coming in. And because that system provides clarity and good regulation of the mutual fund ecosystem in a way, very few countries do it today.”
Assertion Contradicted
Sharma: Relying On Visa And Mastercard Means A 1% Foreign Tax
“The fact is that when your economy is reliant on Visa MasterCard, you're paying a one person tax to a third country, right?”