why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Toshniwal: OpenAI and Anthropic will eventually cannibalize coding agents like Cursor
“If you don't create enough of a deep expertise in a certain area, you know, ChatGPT, Anthropic, they are going to cut into you, which you are seeing probably with coding agents, you know, Windsurf and Cursor. Clearly they have grown very fast, but I expect Cha…”
Assertion Partly supported
Ferrari: Remini is second most used genAI app globally behind ChatGPT
“Remini is far and away the number one product for AI-based image editing, image generation in the world. It's to my knowledge, the second most used generative AI product in the world. It has over a hundred million it's only second to chat GPT as far as I can t…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kumar: ChatGPT will cut off organic inbound search traffic to software websites
“The searches may still be there because people need answers for their questions, but the searches coming the, to your property, you know, that will cut off.”
Insight
Sidana: AlexNet, not ChatGPT, was the true technical AI inflection point
“The technical inflection point was AlexNet, because AlexNet is what demonstrated that by scaling a neural net, you get disproportionate outcome.”
Opinion
Toshniwal: Founders should take early liquidity because AI disruption creates massive risk
“And another thesis was how you go early with startups. And you are also taking some chips off the table until they go IPO or, you know, wherever they go, which obviously is a good idea in my opinion, because with the Chad GPT era, the risk is massive, even for…”
Insight
Namasivayam: Transformer models miss edge-case opinions by defaulting to population averages
“Transformer models, OpenAI, is great at providing feedback on the average, but it doesn't cover the edge cases. Or the edge cases of your opinions. So that's the problem. So ChatGPT is good at persona feedback. It kind of averages it across the population. But…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sasi: ChatGPT-10 will replicate human hackers to compromise computers at scale
“In my perspective, you know, ChatGPT four would be able to do X, but ChatGPT 10 will have much more higher capabilities which can replicate a human hacker and their behavior and people who have access to that can just reprogram that to compromise computers at …”
Prediction Held up
Kompalli: ChatGPT will eventually launch its own advertising platform
“Then there is ads that ChatGPT will launch, and we don't know if there is some play there.”
Assertion Supported
Jain: Customer service AI startups like Sierra emerged post-ChatGPT
“And then chat GPT happened and then everyone realized actually customer service is going to be the biggest market for AI. And they've been on the journey since then. You know, I think in customer experience in customer service, Sierra, Decagon, everything happ…”
Disclosure
Krishnan: Turing began helping OpenAI train models in early 2022
“This whole thing started when yeah, when we started helping OpenAI you know, A little over about four years ago, like, since from early 20, 20 to long before chat GPT launched and the that is how we got started in this particular area.”
Insight
Sanyal: ChatGPT commoditized modeling skills, turning AI adoption into software engineering
“Ever since ChatGPT, I've seen the adoption of AI in enterprises increase its velocity manifold. And the reason is because the niche skill has been commoditized. Now you have a black box and the whole point is how do you build a software and infrastructure laye…”
Disclosure
Reddy: Capillary Now Optimizes To Be Cited By ChatGPT And Gemini
“We do a lot of work now on trying to be, if you search on loyalty in, in a ChatGPT or a Gemini, We want to come up there saying, look it may not be about saying I want to buy software, but you talk about something. I want to say, look, okay, here and it, by th…”
Insight
Toshniwal: New AI products must be 10x better than ChatGPT to win
“If your product is not 10 X better than chat GPT and it's just one or two X, you have no chance because you know, the muscle memory of people is like, I'm just going to go to chat GPT and it's like, yeah, it's better, but it's not that good. So I'm just going …”
Assertion Partly supported
Garg: India's ChatGPT consumption matches or exceeds US usage
“Today, you're seeing that chat GPT consumption in India is actually simultaneously with the U.S. I think there is as much consumption, perhaps more.”
Disclosure
Together Fund's AI Deal Flow Surged From 1 to 100 Startups Monthly
“So in Together Fund, when ChairGPT was launched, first six months, any silence. We saw maybe one company a month, which is an AI. We thought something is really wrong. Maybe Indians are not getting it. We are not able to get it. What we can do as a fund. After…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Agarwal: Gen Z Uses ChatGPT Over Google for Search
“Instead of going to Google to search for the information, they're searching on ChatGPT. They're just going and searching on the ChatGPT now, or asking the question and getting the more precise answer. And even for learning things that they're going more to thi…”
Insight
Agarwal: ChatGPT succeeded by giving pre-existing LLMs a consumer interface
“And chart GPT was nothing but a UI representation or UI interface through which that human could go and interact with the LLMs or GPT models. That's what it provided a mechanism because prior to that, that, okay, through the APIs and you, by writing the code a…”
Disclosure
Radhakrishna: Koo has integrated ChatGPT into its platform
“Like we've integrated ChatGPT into Koo.”