why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Connor Price: TikTok suppresses comments mentioning Spotify or link in bio
“TikTok at this point, too, even, if you try to write the word link in bio or even Spotify, they'll hide the comment. And we've tested this. I've written that, I've posted that comment under my own video, logged into a different account to go there, and the com…”
Prediction Held up
Puri: Developers will scrape Spotify to train open-source AI music models
“Somebody's about to do that for music. They're about to download all the music. They're about to go download all the music off Spotify. And then they're going to train an engine to say, Hey, create new music. This is what music is. Create new music. And that's…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Spotify's market cap is resistant to disruption by Suno
“Spotify's market cap should be resistant to this because it's a tool for creating music and music will be distributed on Spotify.”
Insight
Connor Price: Copyright-free music generates more long-term value than DMCA claims
“I created a playlist on Spotify under my channel that's called, like, DMCA Safe Copyright Free, where it's all of my songs that are copyright free... Because I don't do YouTube ID. I think the long-term value of having creators use your music is way more than,…”
Assertion Supported
Brianna Price: 1M Spotify streams generates $4,000 on average
“It's roughly, there's a lot of variables, but on average, a million streams is around 4000 dollars USD. On Spotify.”
Insight
Posner: Artists must win Spotify before radio, reversing historical trends
“You win Spotify and get on the radio, or you win YouTube and you get on the radio. Then it was the opposite.”
Assertion Supported
Price: Song 'Spinin' crossed 100M Spotify streams in under nine months
“That's the song that now has over a hundred million streams on Spotify in less than nine months.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Connor Price averages 60M monthly Spotify streams across his catalog
“And we're averaging like, sixty million streams a month right now. Across our catalog.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Puri: Record label pricing power prevents Spotify from generating tech-like cash flow
“To deliver music, you have to have the rights of the record labels. They can always, they own the pricing power. And that's why, you know, Spotify after, you know, like building the best in class product, getting everybody to use it after 15 years or whatever,…”
Assertion Supported
Puri: LeBron James avoids roaming charges and uses Spotify with ads
“LeBron famously, like he doesn't turn on roaming when they go play the Raptors in Canada. He's like, no, I'm good. Like I'll, if I got wifi, I got it. If not, and I, and he's got like Spotify with ads still.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Puri: Spotify grew from 5% to 30% of My First Million streams
“We doubled on Spotify last month. Spotify is growing like crazy as a podcasting platform, and it used to be like five percent of our Streams. Then it became 10% of our streams. 15%. It's like 25, 30% of our streams now.”
Assertion Partly supported
Shaan Puri: Spotify acquired true crime network Parcast for $100M
“True crime podcast network, 16 shows, and he sold it to Spotify for like a hundred million dollars, fifty million in cash, fifty million in the earn out.”
Disclosure
Helwani breaks down his multi-platform media partnerships after leaving ESPN
“Now I'm working with Vox, my old friends at Vox Media, with the Ringer Spotify, with Substack, with BT Sport. I did a thing for Showtime recently, BetMGM, and, ah, it's great.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Sam Parr: My First Million Ranked #8 On Apple And Spotify
“Our top rating, we are number eight in iTunes and in Spotify in the business category, which is pretty good.”
Assertion Contradicted
Parr: My First Million hit top 35 global podcasts on Spotify
“I think last week or two weeks ago, I think we were the 35th or something most popular podcast in the world on Spotify. All categories. Not just business.”