why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Luckey: The New York Times published a fabricated quote of mine
“The New York times posted a quote for me that I literally never said. And I told them like, Hey, you said that I said this, I never said that. They said, well, it's more or less what you said. We don't think the meeting is different.”
Opinion
Puri: The New York Times is functionally a games company
“The New York Times has more in common with Zynga than it does the truth. The New York Times is a games company”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2027
Rose: AI will write 90% of a New York Times bestseller by 2027
“I have no doubt in the next five years we'll see a New York Times bestseller that was 90% written by AI.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
NYT Profiles Still Drive Massive Customer Influxes for Tech Startups
“I am friends with a lot of startup founders who tell me that, like, oh, we got a profile in the New York Times, and we had the biggest influx of customers we've had ever, or we got mentioned, you know, a write-up on here, or whatever it is, and the same thing …”
Assertion Supported
Puri: Games account for over 50% of NYT bundle time spent
“Games, you know, few years ago, games was roughly 15% of time spent. Now it's over 50% of the time spent in their bundle is on the games product, which is pretty wild. It's more time spent on games than on news. It has overtaken news.”
Assertion Contradicted
Parr: NYT earns $90M in subscription revenue from Crossword puzzles
“The number was ninety million dollars in subscription revenue from Crossword Puzzles for the New York Times.”
Assertion Supported
Puri: NYT digital-only subscribers generated $289M in Q4, mostly from games
“So the New York Times, just in Q four, their digital only subscribers was two hundred eighty nine million, which is all their games. It's a little bit of their cooking product as well, but it's like mostly their games revenue. And so that's three hundred milli…”
Assertion Supported
Vivi Nevo was reportedly the largest individual shareholder in Time Warner
“He claims to be, and many people, including the New York Times, claim that he was the largest shareholder in Time Warner. He was a very large shareholder in Goldman Sachs, so he, like, runs in all these amazing circles.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Parr: Wirecutter Generates Close to Nine Figures in Affiliate Revenue
“Wirecutter got classified now as like other revenue. So I've been trying to like decipher it and figure it out. And they do something like close to nine figures in sales from affiliate Affiliates.”
Assertion Supported
Guidara: Eleven Madison Park dropped its dress code after earning four stars
“The day we got four stars, the dress code went away.”
Assertion Supported
The New York Times had 600,000 standalone crossword subscribers in 2020
“In 2020, New York Times said they had 600,000 people paying for the Crosswood puzzle only, just Crosswood puzzle.”