The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2,831 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 26 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Welch's survey finds only 2% of Gen Z hold employer-desired values
“I did a survey of 1500 hiring managers, and I asked, what values do you wanna, what values do you hire for among Gen Z? And I'm gonna tell you, only two percent had the values they wanted.”
Welch: 65% of Gen Z value self-care versus 0% of hiring managers
“Eudaimonia is the number one value for 65% of Gen Z, and in 1500 hiring managers over the age of 40 in corporate positions, exactly zero percent said they wanted eudaimonia as a top value.”
Rascoff: Reg A offerings are the future of pre-IPO capital raising
“We think it's the future of capital. It's sort of capital raising at this Kind of bridge moment once you're done raising venture capital from traditional Silicon Valley type investors, but before you're publicly traded up.”
Brown-Philpot: There is no pipeline problem finding under-invested venture entrepreneurs
“The second is, is there's no pipeline problem of finding under-invested entrepreneurs. There just isn't. If you talk about what you want to do and do the work, it will happen.”
Sinek: Businesses wrongly evaluate leaders by immediate outcomes, unlike the military
“Nowhere on the grading sheet does it say if they made it to the other side or not. He goes, we measure the characteristics of good leaders. And he said, we understand that sometimes good leaders suffer a mission failure and sometimes bad leaders enjoy mission …”
Perel: The loss of shared physical workplaces fuels polarization, threatens democracy
“The third space, the library, the neighborhood, the community center is the space where people used to come together around a shared mission with people that are different from them, which work has done as well. And once you lose that, you lose the space where…”
Green: Chinese groups immediately hire workers laid off by USAID cuts
“The folks who have been laid off as a result of the USAID cuts, and I don't mean folks in the United States, I mean folks globally, they're being hired immediately, and they're being hired by Chinese aid organizations because that's, because China still does u…”
Rhyu: Scaling past $200M revenue risks shrinking the strategic acquirer pool
“There is something called too big to buy. And so I really, cause you know, we were growing really fast and so the worry is once you know, get to like 202 50 in terms of revenue, then you're gonna be, you know, people might want a billion dollars for valuation.…”
Eidelman: PE capital makes buying practices unattainable for associate vets
“Now the cost of doing that because of so much private equity money that's come in is unattainable for a veterinarian to buy their boss's practice.”
Hoffman: Regulation always massively slows innovation, guiding his investment choices
“One of the reasons why I very rarely invest in kind of regulated businesses and would be normally very cautious about co-founding them is that regulation always massively slows down innovation.”
Google offered $100 million more than Salesforce to acquire Buddy Media
“We had, I don't, I've never told this story publicly, but we had a term sheet from Google There was a hundred million dollars more than Salesforce.”
Cadre secured its first real estate asset through partner Jared Kushner.
“The first actual asset was an asset that I was able to secure vis-a-vis a relationship with Jared Kushner. Who was one of my earliest partners as well.”
Amy Errett forced male VCs to consult female partners before investing
“Before I let anyone do the Series A, I actually told them to do that. So I went and I said, listen, you guys may think this is a good idea. You actually don't know. So I want you to go home. And either your wife, your partner, your kids, your cousins, your aun…”
Digital health will not consolidate into a single platform, predicts Tom Hale
“I think this idea that it's not going to be one system for everybody. And then maybe that's not scalable, but I think the thing is that it might be different solutions for each person. The person who is managing chronic fatigue syndrome or long COVID, very dif…”
Hasbro CEO: D&D Beyond reaches 80% of active tabletop RPG players
“But when you think about, like, the reach of 19 to twenty million people in the tabletop gaming hobby, you know, we basically reach 80% of everyone who plays a tabletop RPG actively.”
Webb: Singapore could become a net chicken exporter using cultured meat
“Singapore could become a net exporter of chicken to Malaysia, to other places around Southeast Asia.”
Case: The US will avoid Europe's mistake of over-regulating AI
“I think that we will not make the mistake I believe Europe is making, which Europe often makes, of over-regulating trying to make, be so careful about bad things happening, you don't allow the good things to happen, and we need to figure out a way to, you know…”
Wang: Berkeley study found toxic metalloids in 14 major tampon brands
“A big study came out from the University of Berkeley over the summer. I don't know if you saw it, but 14 major tampon brands, including organic tampons, tested positive for toxic metalloids like lead and mercury and arsenic.”
Shan-Lyn Ma: Hallmark Channel rejected Zola ads featuring same-sex couples
“There was one instance where the Hallmark Channel refused to run our ads that showed same-sex couples.”
Galloway: Believing corporations exist to improve the world is naive
“They're so good at making money, they shouldn't be trusted to do anything else. And unfortunately, they've done a great job of personifying themselves, and we believe them, and we believe that they're actually trying to connect the world, you know, make the wo…”
Galloway: Healthcare and education are most ripe for disruption
“My litmus test for evaluating the disruptable, how disruptable an industry is, is I look at its price increases relative to inflation, and whether there's been the underlying innovation to support that increase. And the two sectors I think, I see are most disr…”
Galloway: AI won't lower healthcare costs, but will save patients time
“I don't think AI is going to reduce healthcare costs. I think what it's going to do is give people back time, which I think is probably even more valuable.”
Galloway: Mobile phone voting will not happen because higher turnout favors Democrats
“Voting on phones. But it's not gonna happen because it would be detrimental. It would benefit Democrats. Because when the number of people voting goes up, it's good for Democratic candidates, and the number of people going, voting goes down, it's good for Repu…”
Hoffman: AI Cannot Reach Zero Flaws Before Deployment
“You can never get all these things in these complicated systems to zero, so the better thing is, make sure that you've got baseline good, and then be improving constantly on those, so you launch anyway.”
El Kaliouby: The next trillion-dollar company will be AI-first and is being born now
“The next trillion dollar company is going to be AI first, and it's being born now.”
Eric Schmidt: Companies are walking back 'bring your whole self to work'
“So now what has happened is there's been this view that you should bring your whole self to work, and now we're being forced to crawl that back because your whole self is maybe not what we want in work.”
Schmidt: Startups must hire the smartest people and tolerate difficult personalities
“Hire the smartest people you possibly can and put up with them, right? And we all understand what that means, right? But you really need them for competitive advantage.”
Khosrowshahi: Culturally misaligned top performers become destructive as companies scale
“If the smartest person in the organization isn't aligned with you culturally, that can actually be pretty dangerous. And so as an organization grows, you make allowances certainly for your most talented people. But if from a cultural standpoint, they're not al…”
Huffman: Community platforms cannot be governed purely like democratic countries
“One of the big learnings is we are not a country. You know, we are a community platform, and we're also a business. This is a place that people have to want to be. You don't, you know, by and large, you don't choose where you live on Earth but you can choose w…”
Weaver: Viral social media narratives falsely claimed Jack Daniel stole his recipe
“The internet decided almost instantaneously, with the headline in the photo, that Jack Daniel was a slave owner, he hid the recipe, he stole the recipe, he hid the slave. That was not a part of the story. It was not even insinuated, but that is the story that …”
Bret Taylor predicts AI agents will rival websites in corporate importance
“Every company will want their own agent, and they'll spend as much care and attention on their AI agent as they do building their website, as they do building their mobile app. This is going to be one of the main digital artifacts as a business that you make.”
Bret Taylor: AI will widen the performance gap between top and bottom workers
“I think it will make the better people even better by giving them more leverage. It will probably increase the gap in the distribution between the best people and the worst people, because the best people will now have an Ironman suit, you know, of AI capabili…”
Bret Taylor reveals both OpenAI factions asked him to mediate crisis
“And then when the governance crisis happened and, you know, I got some phone calls from both the outgoing board and, Sam and Greg and others were, you know I'm paraphrasing, but there was some mutual trust that I could help mediate the outcome and there weren'…”
Hoffman: AI Assistants on Every Smartphone Will Provide Direct Medical Guidance
“And so I think part of what we're going to be doing is kind of training, you know, AI to kind of be as an assistant on every smartphone, and the first question will be is, do you have access to a GP, right? Because by the way, if you have access to a GP, You k…”
Wang: Generative AI will eliminate massive film visual effects budgets
“A lot of films now have, you know, tens of millions, hundreds of millions of dollar visual effects budgets. It's true. They won't have to spend that much on visual effects going forward. It'll be able to be done Much more automatically using these models”
Wang: AI will not displace high-end professional labor due to shortages
“This does not in itself result in, in labor displacement because most of these jobs that we're talking about are you know, there's a shortage of them in the economy. Most of the, most of these high end high end fields, you know, we need more doctors. We need m…”
Wang: AI labs underfund interpretability and deepfake detection for new capabilities
“The leading AI labs, you know, they're incentivized very much so to build Incredible new capabilities. But there's a lot of very important technical work and technical research that's been done in areas that are that are not building, you know, cooler capabili…”
Maples: Startup founders ignore moats because they have nothing to protect
“Founders don't care about moats. They don't have anything to protect. They have the ability to disrupt by bending the arc of the present to a different future.”
Maples: AI startups usually possess inflections rather than foundational insights
“The first thing I've noticed is the AI startups that pitch me much more often have inflections than insights.”
Maples: AI will create massive value for startups over incumbents
“And so I think that's true of AI, and I think we're kind of in this five-year window where it's not completely obvious where to play, just like it wasn't completely obvious in the first five years of the internet, but all my instincts tell me that it's going t…”
Hoffman: Winning in AI requires more than training large models
“People say, well, it's all about the size of the model you're training. So it'll be open AI, Google, Microsoft, you know, and that's it. And you're like, well, no, actually, in fact, there's going to be a lot more than just the size of the model you're trainin…”
Maples: Digitally specifiable high-skill jobs face the highest AI substitution risk
“There are fields where the people in that field are very smart, but if they could be completely digitally specified those people are more at risk than people who, Do things that can't be completely digitally specified because then AI cannot be a substitute as …”
Hoffman: Every professional activity will have an AI copilot within five years
“But one of the things that I believe with some vigor is that anything that we count as a professional activity, Today, or yesterday, will, within three to five years, have an AI, you know, use the Microsoft language, copilot.”
Russell: Fully driverless cars are still decades away, not years
“Oh, oh, it will. It will. It's just like decades, you know, it's not like, you know, next year, you know, it's just there's a different kind of timescale for these things.”
Russell: Luminar targets up to $60B in booked business by 2030
“Our target is to be as much as a sixty billion by the end of the decade.”
Russell: Luminar has more contract value than all competitors combined
“I think, you know, we have more contract value than probably every other autonomous vehicle in, in Lidar company in, in the industry and world combined, you know, at this point in terms of like, actually materializing into, you know, production vehicles that h…”
Cessario: Many people from big success stories just take credit for one genius
“How many times do you realize that like all the people that work on stuff, there's maybe one evil genius that's doing kind of everything and everybody else sort of takes the credit. Then you put them on their own. And it's like, cause I remember the first pres…”